midatlanticweather

17.1 with DP of 2. WC of 6 Brrrrr

28.9 and dropping steadily. DP 6

All fine and dandy until you start realizing that it does an ok job seeing warm air intrusions. Amounts may be off a lot of times, but for us, it does hold weight... have seen it many times. You cannot ignore it. I do not think it is in its wheelhouse yet, but pretty close and probably we can really weight it more tonight. Already though, it should give pause. It is a completely viable option. We live in a place where it is super hard to get good clean snow from start to end.. we do mixing very well.. so don't be so sure.

Exactly. As noted in the past, when models start losing ground to warm nose intrusions they have a hard time reversing course (meaning they picked up on something). We want to see improvement every step of the way until go time. We do not have much longer for improvements! And we have been slowly and sometimes not so slowly losing ground every step of the way. The pull north could kill it! And I was not worried about freezing rain at all until now.

The hunt can be so much fun. I love it too man.. It is an addiction

The first graphic is the whole event. The one with a little less is through 7pm Sunday.

We will get nam'd tomorrow night

We are seeing the snow whittled away. Who says we can't fail? We can fail some.. and win some.. just sucks to get sucked in with pretty colors! Still worry about that last pull north before a little recovery. But I am the Debbie downer, but these situations stink.

I have to think that we get that last minute north jump.. and it is a scary point for me. Riding the line this far out is not a good recipe... except for disaster. Warm air seems to sneak north faster and not what you think.. sometimes it is wrong on models, but no cushion is the deal. Front thump looks like the win.. then sleety mess. Crazy we became the edge. We gotta drop that zero line in all levels!

Dang... That is a lot of moisture. Most I have seen on a map since last summer. Let's hope for more cold and that much juice going forwards. Goodness. We do not need more precip than that if we can get the powder to last longer.

I don't think 850 was our warm layer

https://weatherstar.netbymatt.com/ will do it with your real local data

Does it have a score for accuracy?

We will know Monday. For sure.

You forgot squirrel indicators... This gets mentioned and I swear Is a factor.

Seasonal /yearly trend?? Drier when we get to the day? Seems this region wants to remain in a drought.. I am just sharing as it has been a common trend.

We want clean snow... It is the unicorn in our region so we should keep our focus on that... As soon as we get warm air intrusions we get alarmed and it is a terrible concern.

This is not a one run trend. The cutting primary sleet icy look showed up in 0z runs last night

The storm gets way amped and cuts harder... We can do it.. Do not think we cannot fail. Ever. We have before and we can do it again

No... pure powder is the only thing for me.. I do care... I would care less.. but still care

Low of 7 this morning. Still just 7.3 degrees. Brrr

Noticing this as well. Staring to like it out our way!

The NBM keeps ticking higher.

See you all in a few hours. Thanks for all you all do to make it worth returning.

Ya.. Gave me pd2 vibes for a moment.. The sleet mess ruined my storm in Sterling