midatlanticweather

This would have been a nice end to winter... if only!

I see that it is official that Hurricane tracking by NHC will start May 15th. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=NHC 000 NOUS41 KNHC 021258 PNSNHC Public Information Statement NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021 To: NWS Partners, Users, and Employees From: Michael J. Brennan Branch Chief, Hurricane Specialist Unit National Hurricane Center Subject: Routine issuance of the Atlantic basin Tropical Weather Outlook beginning on May 15, 2021 In order to provide more frequent information on the potential for tropical cyclone formation as the official June 1 start of the Atlantic hurricane season approaches, the National Hurricane Center will begin routine issuance of the Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) and the Graphical TWO at 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC) May 15, 2021. Given recent increased tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin in late May, routine issuance of the Atlantic TWO starting on May 15 offers a service improvement over unscheduled Special TWOs that are issued to discuss the possibility of tropical cyclone formation prior to the official start of hurricane season on June 1. The Atlantic TWO can be found under AWIPS header MIATWOAT and WMO header ABNT20 KNHC. The TWO and Graphical TWO can also be found online at hurricanes.gov. Any questions or comments on this change should be directed to: Michael J. Brennan Branch Chief, Hurricane Specialist Unit [email protected]

Nice rates, l grass, cars, and of course, decks covered.

Wet snow in Purcellville for the last half hour

39.120110 -77.743760

Flakes in Purcellville, but it is pretty light

22 for the low. 24 now.. Windchill 13.. Brisk

Not far enough south for perfect location. If the storm was tomorrow and it was there, I would then be fine.. just seems to be seasonal trends! 100+ mile shifts.. not small ones

Seeing precip increase in the area on radar. Radar is seeing some as snow in northern Loudoun up into Maryland... anyone seeing anything other than drizzle.

Feel Like Short Pump needs a shout out

Sleet crazy

Gravity Waves?

Sleet and some parachutes falling now. 50/50 mix.

I would say 60% snow, 20% snow pellets, 20% sleet... Coming down pretty hard.

Temps have come up 2 degrees! 26/15 in Purcellville

Weeniecast time! Now is the time we all realize the worst, and will hug and share every snowy model there is! In every storm, this is the what is predictable! This should probably be banter! But so is sharing every snowy model that is unlikely to verify!

24/15 - Purcellville Cold!

Para will save winter (I hope)

28/16 - Thinking I end up with about 4 - 5" of snow/sleet

I remember something like this and then the ULL ended up giving many some excitement but missed my backyard. Was also an inland runner and unexpected that it would stay snow.

This has been a tough winter with models and a lot of strange behaviors. Very happy that systems are spotted ahead of time, but final placements of bands of snow and warm layers seem last minute. I expect the typical northward trends, but they have been in both directions this year. I thought this was going to be a bit less complicated. But so many variables, and there are good reasons for the challenges, but we really are the battle ground for this year. I guess we always are. Makes it fun and exhausting at the same time. This is probably banter

Hoping the Para schools all the models for this event. But weeniecasting now.

34/17 Purcellville

You may be right! Seems to snow for just one hour.