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midatlanticweather

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  1. midatlanticweather
  2. midatlanticweather
    There was that one GFS off run (hmmm - kind of similar!) with it south... only to turn around and bring the big stuff... MAN! Remember the radio show before that one! DT was on it when he was kind of tolerable... LOL!
  3. midatlanticweather
    We should have a banter threat for any one storm instead of a catch all! I LOL so many times from some of the posts... I want to hone in on them for the storm! Just saying!
  4. midatlanticweather
    The issue we also seem to have is that the speed of movement is missed on models. That speed = how much snow falls. They tend to be longer on the runs than in actuality (My Deb downer hat is on today!)
  5. midatlanticweather
    I am going to be the Debbie downer here... all season(last year) we have been seeing big precip events start drying up as the event approached... I know here we have southern system involvement, but any concerns here? We had like 1 overperformer rain event in the last year and most have been way less than forecast. Gives me pause this far out.
  6. midatlanticweather
    Give me 20:1 ratios and this is great.lol smoke
  7. midatlanticweather
    From a N stream system or a Southern stream system view in a fast moving environment, these two scenarios make sense.. and suck
  8. midatlanticweather
    Hit 19.7 degrees at 8PM yesterday. Coldest so far today was 20.4 degrees.
  9. midatlanticweather
    Let's get some negative tilt! The western guys are hoping for more! But I am pulling for everyone.
  10. midatlanticweather
    Lol.. It was not in board. It showed mild support, but was never super sold on the idea. But the euro has let us down a lot this year too.. I would be drought free and in a surplus if we got the rain it has shown.
  11. midatlanticweather
    Gfs was on its own from the start. Faith in models 5+ days seems a fool's chase. I am guessing we will be fooled again soon. I am not mad at the models, I am mad for believing they may be correct.
  12. midatlanticweather
    Here we need to be on the Northern side of a big amount of snow early, with tons of room for movement. If we are too close to the cutoffs, we can easily get missed to the north. We do not have much cushion on this one.. that vort has to dig.. We need a big dig.. BIG.. and just far enough west to turn right. If we complicate this any (as we are now) we will need to bet on fail...
  13. midatlanticweather
    Rare do we get perfect storm formations on our doorstep. It can happen and I think we will watch but the pessimist in me says we have to get it to the south
  14. midatlanticweather
    So it is outstanding when out standing!
  15. midatlanticweather
    West winds did it again! Sheltered locations remain in the low to mid 30s but about an hour ago we received wnw winds that shot temps up. 55 degrees currently
  16. midatlanticweather
    Set goals not resolutions!! That is all I have to share. Next few weeks look bad. Resolutions will probably end for most people before the pattern changes again. Even more before mid February.
  17. midatlanticweather
    West winds shot the temps up!! 58 degrees. Seeing sheltered spots in the 30s nearby. Crazy stuff
  18. midatlanticweather
    Until tomorrow
  19. midatlanticweather
    At this rate, tomorrow we will be saying congratulations NC! That is a serious south trend
  20. midatlanticweather
    I have decorations down.. it is a massacre of lighted snowmen outside! - Hoping winds subside soon! Winds have to be gusting to 50+ at times. Lights have been going flickering and had brief outage.
  21. midatlanticweather
    Am I right that, if there were not an inversion, and we had the right setup (like warm LOL), this would be interesting?
  22. midatlanticweather
    I'd the hrrr best suited for snow? It has been great having short term forecasts and seeing updates so rapidly. I have never really trusted it to be right but to help in convective setups.
  23. midatlanticweather
    Bummed for our backyards. Suckered in by the model increases and that early burst! - Hoping January can turn the corner in the long range as Loudoun needs some good snow (And more of the DMV as well)
  24. midatlanticweather
    This is starting to look like the end my friend. For our neck of the woods. Sucked in at the last minute by models.. Only to be left with a coating
  25. midatlanticweather
    At least GFS keeps the cold right after Christmas. The Christmas miracle went away Things can still change (get worse -- Or better) - happy the non-stop torching does not look to be there.
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