I did not think the 06z Euro was quite as good as the overnight run.. or yesterday's 12z.. is this the beginning of the cave in? We will see! This post has 0 help on the overall discussion, just my two cents!
GFS is so much different than the Euro - I hope the 500 cut off is just a screwy thing! But, if that remains the upper level looks, that is not coming close at all! I think it MAY be wrong.. but, that may be because I want it to be wrong! Let's see if GEFS have any other looks.
Had made it to 19.1 degrees, but back down to 17 after the snow started. Moderate snow now, but just a coating so far! All pavement is white, which should be no surprise!
What is the consensus on the freezing rain situation? It would seem to be raining hard enough that it would not be as bad as a lighter and longer-duration rain. But 45+ MPH winds make it a difficult and worrisome forecast.
Crazy how this got better for the thump to the south.. better to the west, but that warm intrusion has held fast! I mean, it has not moved much at all! At this point, it has to be true, but something could change I guess!