midatlanticweather

Based on the lack of posting.. obviously the 18z GFS was nothing good for snow lovers. It was horrible.. but also it looked really messy and chaotic.

Well, next to Deep Thunder.... LOL

Just worried it will be warm and rainy! Time is running out!

Euro is a no-go late phase and huge to the right! Even upstream looks like it is a bad setup for anything to truly pop.

Just reiterating what we already know:

UK Met at 144

Only 9.7 inches total here in Purcellville. That is a meager amount! We can usually nickel and dime our way to 15 inches or so by now. Pretty bad year.

Canadian as well.

Looks like it starts wrapping up, then kind of loses it and goes back positive after a brief negative. I mean.. something is there across models now! Something to watch again!

39/37

Between 5:22 and 5:27AM the front came through my back yard. Temps dropped from 58 to 43 degrees by 6am. Now sitting at 39.

Last minute north pull - Thank goodness we were tracking ice and not snow. Seems like minimal impacts for many.

When do we start trusting the high resolution models? Tonight? Tomorrow? Mainly on cold air, not precip amounts.

The Low for the follow up was souther. The upper level support was definitely different. Look like we get Fringed!

It is February! Think we need a new thread for the month

Looks like a sleet bomb

Came over here looking for hope! LOL

0.5 at best. Everything has some snow on it so it looks great. Pixie dust still falling.

I can relate to this so much, but definitely have been able to be better at dealing with it! I do still struggle when people to the east and especially to the south get more snow than me, but, honestly, snow lovers in these places have to be excited, and climo says that we will do better over time than these locations. I think of the snow weenies that will become meteorologists from snows like this one, and I remember being one myself. The advent of the Internet and technology has really made it fun to share in these events and be excited. I find it funny when I watch people live in the storm for a bit and then go outside and think I should be seeing the same thing out my door! Additionally, we have had some amazing storms that others have envied as well! For me Blizzard of 1996, PD2, 2010 triple winners, and then the Blizzard of 2016. I considered each a once in a lifetime experience, only to have another one! We will get another one! It takes time and luck and this was not our time, but it is for others! Be happy for them! That is what I try and do. The most excruciating events are the ones that seem forecasted with almost certainty that suddenly become nothing or small here. I literally have some depression moments! I have the same as soon as a big storm ends! But the rarity makes them all great! Solid snows in the Mid-Atlantic are rare enough to make each one super special! Jut remember, snow here is something that takes luck! Sometimes the cards are in our favor and we have a better chance to be lucky. Most the time, though, the harder it is to draw the right cards, the more likely we are to fail. Sometime, Blackjack just takes 2 cards.. but often, in our area, it takes 5! And the more it takes, the more the opportunity for a miss! Anyways, hang in there! Also, consider driving to a location that will get pummeled sometime! It can be fun!

Well the sky is white. Loudoun is really missing the snow love this year. 32/21 and dry

Trust them with details, no, but seen if the physics that are being used also show solutions that are lining up with other models, not the worst idea. If they are radically different then I would not trust them, but if they back up other models and raises my confidence a small amount.. Small amount though

NEXT!