midatlanticweather
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Everything posted by midatlanticweather
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Ha - this guy likes the looks! The La Nina mentioned above, and other factors have me less enthused!
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34.6 lowest of the season that I have been able to measure.
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What was the earliest measured snow at the major airports? I see Tony Pann saying it was today in 1979 (incidentally, I lived in Richmond VA at the time, and we saw flakes on October 10th that year as well) What about DC and Dulles?
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35 here now. Stupid weather station stopped reporting last night, so it likely was a bit cooler. Had to come in here and read. Frosty morning on exposed elevated surfaces.
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40.5 for the actual low.. Love the feel!
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If.. only... the blocky look can continue.. all winter
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BWI: 10/26 IAD: 10/25 DCA: 11/11 RIC: 11/12 Peak Oct temp at DCA: 79
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I was fringed! OK by it though... but if this had been a snow storm - I would have been crying with my inch of snow today!
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"I fell victim to one of the classic blunders! The most famous of which is 'Never get involved in a land war in Asia,' but only slightly less well-known is this: 'Never trust the precipitation on the GFS when a Nor'easter is on the line and it is the only model showing it!'"
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GFS continues it deluge. Euro says about about 1 to 1.5 more. NAM has backed way off. Eastern areas look very wet no matter the model
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2.3 here so far for the whole event. Steady waves of rain then drizzle then rain then drizzle..
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NAMs backed off on heavy stuff but GFS said "Hold my beer" and went super wet. Which one will it be? Euro seems to split the difference on the 6z.
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Should be able to overcome the sun angle too!
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Snowboard is clear and ready for measuring! The rain gauge is also waiting...
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I think it is safe to say that this is kind of a hybrid type system to an extent. Even NHC is recognizing it. That block to the north is going to flex its muscle.
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Check this - Suppression
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Looks like Euro has a similar look to 12Z - the secondary swath may have just started to pump. But the low looks different. I think we have a lot of adjustments coming over the next few days.
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GFS still 1 to 3 inches.. I personally think that would be right.. if it was a snow forecast.
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Perfect weather here today! 64 degrees
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Euro seems to be showing a severe threat for Saturday. Maybe some more knowledgeable can comment.
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This is a crazy animation!
