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midatlanticweather

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Everything posted by midatlanticweather

  1. We are tracking something. The potential is there for a small win or complete failure, but some scoring possible. Freezers need to be left open and some crazy dynamics could be the Hail Mary that changes the game!
  2. I think the places the mixing occurs is how the storm will end up... I would not be thinking accumulations outside higher elevations. Some mixy stuff accumulations for some that get into the deform areas, but outside the mountains, not much. That was a strange way to get there on the Euro.
  3. If I miss snow, I get upset.. but none worse than when it is south of me! - I am a child when it comes to missing snow.
  4. What the... I am just looking at the GFS! LOL - Not even close on any other parts of the set up at the time, but January 25, 2000 came to mind.. LOL! Man, this is not going to be fun if the south gets clobbered and we are missed.
  5. Pitiful set of model runs! The winter will be over soon! This winter is like pouring lemon juice on an open wound!
  6. GFS - Says - Let's do the same old GL low and not look good anymore! LOL! Lame year!
  7. I was .. My breakfast was awesome! Finished it off with some Orange juice.. A big glass! It was a big finish!
  8. We all become manbabies when things breakdown! I am guilty as charged. I am going to avoid the forum until.... what the heck am I saying?! I will always visit quickly to see if there is something worth watching! LOL! But the meltdowns and bickering are just evidence of the condition!
  9. Little sleet and light rain were mixed briefly here. Seems the precip is going to cut off. I mean like a sleet pellet every 10 to 20 seconds.. nothing exciting at all! 37 degrees
  10. THE GL low is infamous! It shows up and we all hope it is a fluke.. and it may be, except when it ruins our snow hopes!
  11. As soon as it gets complicated, we have the "too many levers to pull" as @Bob Chill mentioned before. We are not in a great spot, and, if we know anything, usually trends like this are just the beginning. I mean, maybe just one run, but seriously, the way this winter has been, it is a sign of continuation of cuts to the north and west. There is really nothing holding the cold from escaping. Perfect timing has to be the case.. odds are against it
  12. Go back to 2013 - 2014 for trends that moved south! It was a very odd year and we just seemed to be in the right place balancing cold and the SE Ridge. Rare and unlike anything I had ever seen!
  13. Seems to have been the story this year though! Hopes in both ensembles and the ops pretty quickly slip and then the next threat becomes the focus.. rinse, repeat. Even a blind squirrel will occasionally find a nut, I just hope we get a good one before the year is done! I appreciate the response and get it, but it seems when things start getting worse as a trend, the trend only gets worse in subsequent runs. It is not a good year down this way!
  14. I was just remembering January 25, 2000 - That was a fun ride! Second Guessing Mother Nature: Forecasting the Surprise Snow of January 2000 (nasa.gov)
  15. We just have not come up good in the end.. no matter what the ops vs ensembles have shown. Just want to see some good runs stay good!
  16. Man! We are really sucking on getting good patterns to pay off or be cold. WOW! GFS was a shit the blinds run. Every positive turned to negative. Call me captain obvious, but this is not a good look.
  17. Got some light snow now in Purcellville too! YAY!
  18. 35/28.. Hoping to see some good flakes for a few minutes at least.
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