midatlanticweather

The storm after the storm (and after that storm... and after that storm.. and then winter 2023 - 2024 on December 5.. and )

Bumping! What do you think about Tuesday Evening 0z run make sense? If trends continue? @psuhoffman

That upper-level map is a Beaut!

But there was blue finally!

Man! That GEFS is like a picture frame of what we need for snow! Let's see continued improvement and one of the OPS runs is gonna spit out a big dog! Just hope we get the full benefits!

CPC also says more things keep pointing favorably! Best set of maps I have seen in very long time:

37/21 in Purcellville

Oh wow! Some very close calls for Christmas. Few better adjustments and Bing Crosby may start singing! If we get a big snow Amwx is "gonna find the jolliest bunch of a$$holes this side of the nuthouse." My banter shall end.

Maybe check that resource! - I am going to now.

12z NAM looks quite a bit more icy. Maybe warnings expand a bit? I dunno.

Hit 19 at about 3am. Strange spike to 25 at 6am but back to 20 currently.

Flash Freeze?! LOL! Dang, that is goanna be a Christmas Decoration obliteration due to winds!! YIKES!

This looks like we repeat next week! Some slop to rain then the ice box. (According to the GFS OP) Perfect. LOL! NOT!

Good summary by Peter

Someone left their heat on and the door open in far northern Loudoun and the models see it!

I think sleety accumulations will be a small amount until you get near the PA/MD Border and far NW - I think we all see a sleety start that turns to rain in less than an hour. The amounts of frozen actually accreting will be a question. I have added nothing more than saying I agree with the Mets here that this is advisory until you get to the mountain valleys! And no one wants a bad ice storm, especially with the winds forecast! NO THANKS! I would take sleet instead of Freezing Rain in a heartbeat. Anyways, I would not be surprised if folks west of Rt 15 get into a watch this afternoon and get moved to an advisory based on the worst-case scenario and awareness. Mountain areas go to warnings tomorrow! But who am I, but a weenie!

Time for your famous - "We are too far north, south or east for good snows" quote! (Maybe the east is not in that!)

GFS putting down some ice storm totals! I know it is way overdone on Pivotal!

Two more runs shift south and east and boom! Bob's your uncle! (OK - I watched Spirited! SO GOOD) I am not talking to you @Bob Chill - unless you can make it snow!

Well, I would take that run for sure! LOL! New runs every run!

Gonna bring the blue crush if this keeps up. Snow in the south and bitter cold here. Is that what you are thinking?

Probably to trend worse. Terrible setup. The trend was a little less terrible but we need leaps better and the changes from here on out are likely to be warmer and to the north. I hope I am somehow wrong. This has always been unlikely and continues to show us how it can fail.

What happened to the system!

This board is in true form!! It is what I love! The Ensemble looked pretty good. Nice to see. But the shredder has been very capable this fall of taking 1 to 3 inch rain storms and giving me a quarter inch as we got close. That will continue the way it looks