midatlanticweather

MAYBE base the snow potential on the GFS Snow depth... so you are closer the end result than what you see from the 10:1 crazy stuff! LOL! The GFS is going to be the exaggerated fish story that people share! I agree the Euro upper levels look better. This has favored (at least in my mind) a miss with the best chance east and northeast. If anything, the Miller B was going to screw the middle area.... pull a Raliegh... but I think the amounts will be way less like most models are clearly indicating.. and the temps are not going to help accumulations... Maybe 12z does a dramatic change... it will likely be the GFS giving up its fantasy. The gfs has been on its own a lot this year. In a way, it has made us track longer than we should have. Thanks for the input from the Mets and the more thoughtful posters!

Like the trends

I think if the upper level is like gfs the upside is higher for more of the area.. But it is the gfs

We need constant improvement from each of the more trustworthy models from here forward

GFS! LOL!!!!!! YES! You are correct! BUT - we are always hopeful it somehow finds a nut! - We know it is on its own.. but it looks purdy!

Need something more to get excited.

You know, by the number of posts, the run wasn't great!

Fixed

Go into your profile and past image posts and delete them! Eventually, you hit your limit on space from your posts. You hit that limit

Dude. You are just not getting it. If you listen to and learn from the meteorologists you will see that there are reasons for issues with the forecast. Meteorology is an inexact science but using and science and not just reading a model and trusting it at face value with logic and reasoning will change everything. And informed hobbyists can do the same. Criticizing people that have taken the time to learn physics and interpretation of models and recognizing patterns with learning that far excedes the layman gets respect. I dunno.. You have not been well accepted here. You need analysis, deeper thoughts, comparisons to factors, explanation for what you see.. Or ask questions!! But think when you ask and make them thoughtful.

Miller B will likelyhavw a big screw zone. I do not want to be Raleigh

Ya.. I would take that!! https://media.tenor.com/-p7KNj4W87kAAAAM/really-nice-looking-good.gif

Two worst models. This has north trend feeling. Even a blind squirrel finds a nut know and then.. We will see

Yes.. Agree. Causation is where we get off the rails... There is a place to discuss that and I am good with keeping that separate. I also agree with you on the implementationa of warming here.

I shut it down because the bias of the individual will overshadow science way too often. That is a given. You see things a way very many times based on what you expect. Sadly, this is the reality of many studies now, even when trying to be honest the bias will impact the outcome more than pure science and that.. That becomes contentious very quickly.. But there are plenty of studies now that clearly show the bias impacting the outcome.. Or the money doing the same. And that.. That is what muddies the waters causes debates.. Warming is clear, though even the extent has been questionable due to noted adjustments that people have done. I will not get into seeing people fired and reassigned after hoaxes were exposed to secure money all the way back to the ozone scare era.. I was working as an intern and saw it.. And it makes me sad because real scientific studies have been so corrupted. OK.. And that is the stuff that has no room in thia forum.. Sorry.. Just a hot topic due to money, power greed, and corruption that has f'd up scientific reliability in this polarized and and angry world

You guys are going to argue until the cows fart all the way home. There is a main forum thread for this. We have warming. Let's just leave that here. Go argue why over in the other thread

@psuhoffmanyou have great info.. You write so much about this.. I would tell ya to gather that info, put it in a blog with sections and just point to it.. You have to be sick of saying the same things. Additionally, warming has happened. I am west of Rt15 by a good bit and now at almost 500 feet, this seems to be the rain/snow line many times or just west to the Blue Ridge. It is the sad reality for snow lovers. We will not get into arguments why.. It is observable and has/is happening And we should note, we are super sensitive here in the Mid Atlantic to just a degree or 2 of temperatures. So it matters more than maybe many other places..

19.2 for the low. Sunniest spots facing south are down to grass, but most areas still 1 to 2 inches of snowcrete. Should see massive grass gains today.

It would have to come back on the Euro for pinnage. Now we are tracking light rain withbthe chance if moderate rain.

Is this a political statement?

https://twitter.com/i/status/2021066955533529408

You guys are relentless trolls. @GreyHat, the Ai models are too new to get too confident in them. But, I would say, they have been pretty wild at sniffing some stuff out. As of now, remain skeptical.. It has been bouncing too.. I do not think we have much confidence on anything next weekend... And models don't either.. Which is why we don't.. Lol

It will be in the Carolinas soon enough if that continues.. Wahh wahhh