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Everything posted by midatlanticweather
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@Bob Chillis legend! Happy to see him!
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Fringed out my way on the super long gfs! Lol.
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Well.. YA! You had a even more specialness! Happy Anniversary (maybe a day early!)
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12/17/18 Disco/Obs - Rain/Wind Event
midatlanticweather replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
A little over an inch for Purcellville. Breezy and my Christmas lights have taken a hit. One strand so far, but that is over 1000 lights. -
There were definitely models showing a favorable setup for Christmas week. That is delayed and the look now being advertised does not look like what the long range was showing. The long range also went very warm with pacific air overtaking all North America. So, yes, things did look bad for a bit and then improved. We are also still seeing changes far enough off that it could be changed again.
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This post has me back to thinking we are seeing illusions on the long-range good looks. LOL! Need more luck than usual to get stuff to do what we need it to do these days! Thanks for the breakdown... now I will breakdown! LOL!
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Ya.. looking at the long-range predictions, especially the Middle part of the Mid-Atlantic was showing near to below normal precipitation. The heavier stuff was southern VA and south or up in the NE. We do not need above normal precip to get big snows though. We just need the good timing when we get a storm and a more favorable setup to make the luck we always need more possible
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A little taste of light snow and cold Temps. I would take any snow falling for the Christmas spirit. Things are shifting around for sure.
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This has the feel of a famous miss around Christmas and a famous March that should not be talked about
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The GFS had a bit better of an evolution with the low. I mean, it is a good rainer and would be an amazing snow if it happened the right way and we had cold air. But the last few days it has looked soooo strange. More drought denting cold rain! Happy that it seems likely now. Wish things would get clearer in the long-range for more chances, but I think we are going to see some strange outcomes! THANK YOU to the knowledgeable posters for the details and nuances that can be good in the midst of a lot of bad looks.
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i predict a model flip psych out soon. Lucy football situation
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This seems unbelievable! Mt. Markus Baker Alaska!
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12/10-11 Disco / Obs - Rain/Snow/Wind Event
midatlanticweather replied to nj2va's topic in Mid Atlantic
I got a Rock! LOL .. just a light dusting on car tops and decks. -
12/10-11 Disco / Obs - Rain/Snow/Wind Event
midatlanticweather replied to nj2va's topic in Mid Atlantic
35.1 rain/snow mix -
12/10-11 Disco / Obs - Rain/Snow/Wind Event
midatlanticweather replied to nj2va's topic in Mid Atlantic
Winds from the NW now and down to 50! at 5:23 we were 56! Then the front made temps drop and winds increased from the Northwest! -
12/10-11 Disco / Obs - Rain/Snow/Wind Event
midatlanticweather replied to nj2va's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sweaty 57 outside and humid!!! 0.38 so far IMBY -
12/10-11 Disco / Obs - Rain/Snow/Wind Event
midatlanticweather replied to nj2va's topic in Mid Atlantic
Cool to me. Unexpected and happy if we get anything. Would also mean heavy snow despite the melting. -
I think this setup has issues. The High to the North is departing. The air is not that cold. There is a kicker Low in Canada kicking out whatever the Cooler High could bring. The upper-level support is trying to figure out phasing and timing. A little colder (probably a month later) I would think this would be a wintrier start but would easily change to rain. But what do I know!
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DT had a good review of what looks amazing on the Euro going into Christmas and beyond! Pretty nice looking! Hope it comes true. I KNOW WE HAVE BEEN TALKING ABOUT IT! But some added support!
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39/36 and light rain.
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Sprinklin
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Boom on the digital snow for western folks. Not ideal, way off in lala land.. but wow! Boom!
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Only received 0.36 inches last night for rain. We are still hurting bad here in Western Loudoun.