midatlanticweather

Lol.. It was not in board. It showed mild support, but was never super sold on the idea. But the euro has let us down a lot this year too.. I would be drought free and in a surplus if we got the rain it has shown.

Gfs was on its own from the start. Faith in models 5+ days seems a fool's chase. I am guessing we will be fooled again soon. I am not mad at the models, I am mad for believing they may be correct.

Here we need to be on the Northern side of a big amount of snow early, with tons of room for movement. If we are too close to the cutoffs, we can easily get missed to the north. We do not have much cushion on this one.. that vort has to dig.. We need a big dig.. BIG.. and just far enough west to turn right. If we complicate this any (as we are now) we will need to bet on fail...

Rare do we get perfect storm formations on our doorstep. It can happen and I think we will watch but the pessimist in me says we have to get it to the south

So it is outstanding when out standing!

West winds did it again! Sheltered locations remain in the low to mid 30s but about an hour ago we received wnw winds that shot temps up. 55 degrees currently

Set goals not resolutions!! That is all I have to share. Next few weeks look bad. Resolutions will probably end for most people before the pattern changes again. Even more before mid February.

West winds shot the temps up!! 58 degrees. Seeing sheltered spots in the 30s nearby. Crazy stuff

Until tomorrow

At this rate, tomorrow we will be saying congratulations NC! That is a serious south trend

I have decorations down.. it is a massacre of lighted snowmen outside! - Hoping winds subside soon! Winds have to be gusting to 50+ at times. Lights have been going flickering and had brief outage.

Am I right that, if there were not an inversion, and we had the right setup (like warm LOL), this would be interesting?

I'd the hrrr best suited for snow? It has been great having short term forecasts and seeing updates so rapidly. I have never really trusted it to be right but to help in convective setups.

Bummed for our backyards. Suckered in by the model increases and that early burst! - Hoping January can turn the corner in the long range as Loudoun needs some good snow (And more of the DMV as well)

This is starting to look like the end my friend. For our neck of the woods. Sucked in at the last minute by models.. Only to be left with a coating