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Albedoman

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Everything posted by Albedoman

  1. 60.2 inches of snow for the year in Macungie PA. LV has over 56 in. Nearly 20 in of snow depth still
  2. 5 inches in Macungie PA today. Snow squalls for tomorrow and maybe a refresher on Saturday?
  3. I told you guys this would be a snow surprise event and overcoming the sun angle issues would be no problem. Waiting for the half dollar to pancake size flakes to start falling. Too bad this storm is short in duration. Its like winter kicking us in the nads one more time before exiting. I am more concerned about the model chaos this weekend into next week as the pattern changes
  4. nice to see post in this region Don.
  5. Mt holly here in the LV just upped the totals to 7 in, expanded the WWA to include Montgomery and Bucks Counties and stressed 2 " an hour rates with great omega growth.
  6. Mt Holly just upped the the possible accumulation totals to 7 inches in the LV. They are worried about the convective banding and now saying 2" an hour rates are possible. WWA expanded into Montgomery and Bucks Counties as well. Walter Drag and I have been discussing throughout the week this setup as a possible nice surprise.
  7. 3-5 in the LV with pancake size flakes expected Under a WWA. If it does snow 5 inches, will hit 60 in for the year at my house
  8. Walt 3-5 in snow event for the LV. WWA issued for the snow event on Monday here. Model amounts have ticking up the last few days. Lots of convection- expect to see pancake size flakes for a few hours. The storm next week has me concerned- a few more ticks east and another significant winter event in the making.
  9. On cue --WWA issued for the LV with 2-4 in south of #78 3-5 in north of #78. If it snows 5 inches in Macungie with lollipops of 6 in on the hills, we will have almost a two foot snow pack again. Bring it on before the meltdown later in the week which our snow pack to to a 6-12 in before the big storm event next week. The 30-50 foot snow piles in the shopping center parking lots will not be gone until after April fools day
  10. I needed a good laugh from accuwrong
  11. 2-4 for the LV with lollipops of 6 in. This storm has the potential to be labeled as an over performer for many if the convective portion gets going. Do not underestimate the snowfall rates which can easily overcome any sun angle crap even on treated roads. A nice cover for the dirty snow along the roads right now and 4 inches will nearly give me over 60 in for the year in Macungie
  12. Allentown reached 50.0" seasonal snowfall for the first time since winter 2014-15 when 50.1" was measured. With over 52.0" snow to date, Allentown has seen the most snowfall since winter 2013-14 when 68.1" snow fell. I have recorded 58 inches for the Macungie area
  13. when patterns change, watch for deepening of coastal lows and major volatility in long range models accuracy. I believe after the lp locations will change after every 3 runs because of the lack data ingested in the models far worse in pattern changes. 500 mile movements of lps are not uncommon.
  14. I agree, the convective nature is unusual. A definite now cast event unfolding.
  15. add 2-4 of snow for Monday for the LV . This could be a surprise over performer too according to NAM runs too. I see a WWA advisories issued by Sunday night
  16. Walt, the 2-4 in looks good on the latest NAM runs this morning for ABE for Monday. It may require a WWA
  17. mjo going back to phase 8 oh no bigger storms on track like 93 March snow maybe?
  18. I think Monday maybe a surprise event though. I see a possible overperformer based on this last storm event thermals and radiational cooling over the weekend with the snowpack. . I see 2-4 inch snow event unfolding by late tomorrow model runs. Your thoughts Walt?
  19. 5 inches in Macungie. Dam warm tongue killed this snow event
  20. Don, can you please add ABE to your totals? There are over 800,000 residents in the Lehigh Valley now and Allentown is now the the third most populated city in PA and in almost every snow event this year , we have been in the jackpot zone. I just get tired of cities with far less population get mentioned in your post and the unique physical geography of the LV be forgotten. ABE has received 44 in- (over 50 in at my house) which is 22 in above normal with another 10 in on the way tomorrow. We have a chance to hit 60 inches this year. Thanks
  21. this why snow maps estimate are not reliable. This map below varies by each NOAA regional office as clearly depicted. Snowfall accumulations do not stop at county lines or regional office boundaries. When the media sees this, they run with it and confuse the public even more. People are tired of hyped snow maps. They just want the best prediction possible.
  22. my feelings as well. I am having real good laughs on how panicking is setting in for some of the youngsters. This is a run of the mill overrunning snowstorm event and who ever gets dry slotted also gets the majority of the snizzle. Likely to see heavy banding set up before noon on Thursday with intermittent periods of snizzle adjacent to where downsloping is occurring near the heavier bands.
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