Albedoman

https://www.drought.gov/states/pennsylvania/county/lehigh https://www.lehighcountyauthority.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/LCA-WeeklyReport-DroughtMonitoring-Dashboard-021925.pdf

yes. The are sections in the Little Lehigh Creek in the upper reaches where its barely deep enough for trout to swim right now. The spring base flows are down big time. There has been no snow melt recharge for the entire watershed while LCA and the industries for 50 to 100 water, soda and other beverage bottling companies plus the food manufacturers are pumping the living shit out of the groundwater system in Upper Macungie Township. Every single bottle of Deer Park, coke, DR pepper, 7 up, Pierre, Nestle, and others for the people in the entire NE USA are bottled right here using the Little Lehigh ground and surface water , the cleanest urbanized stream in the country. Believe me, you may think I am Bull shitting you guys, but the industrial people as well as LCA are in panic mode up here. Rationing water between the industries and the residents may become an issue soon if we do not get some decent rains.

sorry do not know as they are closed. I expect they water is down because there is no snow pack anywhere except man made. https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/pennsylvania/bushkill-falls-red-and-blue-trail

make this say "bring rain" and here you go

the levels in the Little Lehigh are the lowest I have everseen in the last 40+ years for the spring. Its rough as the base flows of the stream are srt to dry up quickly as the vegetation and trees come out of dormancy. Its only going to get worse. The dense morning fog by the end of the week will help some with the extremely dry humidity but we really need a stationary front over us for two weeks at this rate. The recent dry winds of 35 + are killing us. . I see nothing significant until April. An onion snow will do nothing for the drought too. we need a 16 inch wet snow to at least get the grass green. I have never seen this yellow in march ever.

still here busy today with my job. I said this on Monday and I was close ----New years eve all over again on Wednesday evening folks That is the last time we had t storms and significant rains. 1-3 inches of rain will be a billion dollar rain event for farmers and landscapers in eastern PA and will definitely help this years crops and finally reestablished green lawns again. However, this rainfall event will only put a dent in the long term drought but it will be a significant dent in getting water back into the ground. The combination of warmer temps of 50 degrees on Tuesday into the weekend with the heavy rain will thaw out the entire frozen soil profile quickly. With no extreme overnight cold temps like over the past weekend, the greener lawns and budding of trees, daffodils and other bulbs popping up will be noticeable by the end of the weekend. Their is also a real good chance of a squall line with severe t- storms, straight line winds and a severe t- storm tornado watch being issued. Best potential weather event all winter. But after this event, it is back to the SOS again with wind and dry temps. At least the fire danger will be gone.---- I was only wrong on the fire threat. The last two days were brutal with relative humidities below 30% and 40 mph wind gusts. and the fire threat remains. Any soil moisture has been somewhat removed from the rain and will be really gone for sure by next Wednesday with temps in the mid 60's. . The BS showers on Thursday will be pittance in the bucket. Mt Holly issues a special statement for tomorrow too about the fire threat. W really need a week of cloudy moderate rainfall for 5 + days instead of these similar Santa Ana winds downsloping the Blue MTs. The pattern has to break soon. My lawn is a little greener but is not much to say. Mostly yellow. The bulbs are popping up but again not remarkable.

yep after 3 runs the MECS is gone . I love this video clip

no support from me until 48-72 hours and it shows up on the NAM Even that is a stretch after this winter. Next-----

hey right on the 12Z

I will one up you and say wind advisory criteria will be met with a brief shower as the LP moves away . Personally this is graupel type of storm event as unstable cold air advects. I tell you what really made me LOL almost made me piss my pants was the aftermath of this BS storm event with the temps as seen below. When is the last time we saw -4 temps in middle march?

THis is what I think of this model run. https://www.gettyimages.com/detail/video/president-george-w-bush-delivers-his-famous-fool-me-once-news-footage/1271658781

New years eve all over again on Wednesday evening folks That is the last time we had t storms and significant rains. 1-3 inches of rain will be a billion dollar rain event for farmers and landscapers in eastern PA and will definitely help this years crops and finally reestablished green lawns again. However, this rainfall event will only put a dent in the long term drought but it will be a significant dent in getting water back into the ground. The combination of warmer temps of 50 degrees on Tuesday into the weekend with the heavy rain will thaw out the entire frozen soil profile quickly. With no extreme overnight cold temps like over the past weekend, the greener lawns and budding of trees, daffodils and other bulbs popping up will be noticeable by the end of the weekend. Their is also a real good chance of a squall line with severe t- storms, straight line winds and a severe t- storm tornado watch being issued. Best potential weather event all winter. But after this event, it is back to the SOS again with wind and dry temps. At least the fire danger will be gone. Once the cold front tracks through the area late Wednesday night, precipitation will diminish as drier air begins to move in from the west. In terms of rainfall amounts, expecting between 0.5-1.0 inches across the Coastal Plain. Across the higher terrain of northeast PA and NJ, including the Lehigh Valley, rainfall amounts between 1-2 inches are expected. Localized higher amounts could be possible.

LP not deep enuf Give me a 970 LP

why not we got nothing to lose at this point. Love to see the secondary LP form at the BM and smack us with a anafront MIller B storm event of 4-6+ inch of wetsnow if it would stall out. Just wishful thinking.

Next wednesday rains/t storms could place a significant dent into the drought conditions. Highs near 60+ with moderate to heavy rains will help melt the soil horizons frozen conditions quickly and get some much needed water through to the root structures of the trees and plants for budding and leafing out in mid April. Believe me, this is a multi billion dollar rain event for farmers and landscapers. Lets hope it comes to fruition and we just don't get burned with another .25 in light rain/drizzle event

yeah right. Goading me again LOL. All this rain did is pollute the living hell out of the streams with salt water runoff. The trout are literally dying of thirst the water is so salty. No significant rains or snow events for the next two weeks does not bode well for any type of drought relief. This is the yellowest I have ever seen the grass at this time of the year- usually is it is greening up real nice. Hell my pussy willow will not evenbloom- the bees are going to die off.

never ends. Tons of concrete will be used with steel cables and wire mesh. Built the King of Prussia mall parking lot on a cavern? More to come as the drought will worsen this problem as the groundwater tables fall to record lows.

so you are also telling me that #07 is a possibility Yea right more like #15 https://tenor.com/view/dumb-and-dumber-jim-carrey-chance-yea-happy-gif-3451748

Drought baby drought sprinkles only sun back out. No precip in 10 days worth measuring. Roads wet enuf to create a nice brine spray for the idiots that washed their cars yesterday. Lol

Sorry, 2022 not 2020 typo eror.

One inch of rain can penetrate frozen topsoil. In your case , a warmer foundation and the location of roof leaders can make a big difference. If you have a sump pump in your basement, that usually means that you have a significant fragipan soil layer near or at homes foundation walls where water in the soil is also moving laterally and not just vertically. Extending roof leaders from your home may hep curb the constant running of your sump pump too. https://pure.psu.edu/en/publications/water-balance-and-flow-patterns-in-a-fragipan-using-in-situ-soil- PA is noted for having fragipan in soil horizons

First 3-6 inches of the soil is called the A- horizon which has had a temporary permafrost and will easily become muddy once the soils are above 36 degrees. That is what you are seeing now. If you dug down below 6 inches, the soils are still frozen with what little moisture we received from the New Years t storms. Once you get down below the B- Horizon 1-2 feet - it is dry as a bone. . Red Sky is right- we need significant long duration rain events of 3-5 inches over several weeks when the the B- horizon is not frozen. to put a dent in the drought. That usually does not happen until mid march, especially after an extremely cold winter that we had thus far. A week of 50-60 degree weather will aid in thawing out the soil profile, especially with rain showers or even fog. By the way, we will most likely get another accumulating snow storm in the next two weeks based on my previous observations from the winter of 2020. Mr Raccoon wiped out my feeder last night of food. I sat there and watch him go to town. He knows there something brewing since that was the last time I saw him at my squirrel feeder. Beware of the ides of March LOL

I am in too if holds up within 72 hours of the event. Its is trying to become a Miller A type of event or a stalled out Miller B forming over the Benchmark. If this indeed happened, it would be a HECS or even a KU event. If Dr. No bites into this GFS playbook this afternoon, the Hopium will come back alive in the forum . Until then,this is just pure BS. We have all been burned too many times following these potential make believe KU storms only to haves our hopes literally ripped from us time after time and run after run being different results. This forum is so hungry for a 12+ inch all day snowstorm its really pathetic. What I want is a drought buster and overall pattern changer as this model run has potential to do both. But one run is not going to do it. When this scenario shows up on my favorite go to the Albedoman's model blend of the 84hr NAM and the Euro at the same time, then I will surely bite

Old fart bastardi just selling hopium. This winter season is finished. Only a Miller A storm event will save it. Hell, we cannot get a single trough to dig beyond the Mason Dixon line to pull up any moisture in our direction. What we really need is a stalled out LP Miller B event which is much more likely right over the benchmark for longer than 24 hours. WE might be able able to squeeze out a foot of snow.