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Albedoman

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About Albedoman

  • Birthday 12/20/1958

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KABE
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Lower Macungie Twsp
  • Interests
    Have a degree in physical geography from the University of Memphis , minor in Geology and an atmospheric/environmental concentration with post graduate work in urban planning and satellite imagery in 1981. (Meteorology was in geography depts in the 70's) Was employed in the Navy as an air traffic controller, had a FAA license, and worked with the CIA as landsat imagery analyst . Trained in meteorology by my uncle in the 70's who was the regional meteorology director for the Western US.

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  1. The 6Z Nam clearly depicted this as an elevation snow event for tomorrow morning and for verifying my forecast.
  2. still sticking with this as my first call 13 hours ago. The 12Z models for GFS and CMC pretty much back me up. Lots of white rain.
  3. 2-3 inches are my intial thoughts for the LV proper , more around S Mt area and Blue Mt areas (3-5 inches). Strictly elevation driven snow accumaltions . For example, driving through Shimerville on Rt 29 and toward Bear Creek resort , I see some good accumalting snow. Same goes with driving through Wind Gap, Lehigh Tunnel and Rt 309. Big wet heavy snow flakes half dollar size to pancake size-white rain). The streets will cave in the LV for accumalation if it snows hard enough in the early morning and toward sunrise. Poconos 12+ in around Tobyhanna a good bet. Winter storm watches issued for the Pocono area by morning Advisories everywhere else after Euro run
  4. wow, the runs are even better than I thought. As I stated last month, the pattern change will usher in the deep freeze around Dec 7th after this snow event. The Christmas snow event time frame is still not dead Red Sky. Keep the precip coming , as the drought might be ended by Christmas
  5. Hot damn, my 40 day forecast is coming to fruition. Moderate rains then a light snow event for Thanksgiving time frame. Whats wrong guys, have heard you naysayers lately saying how my forecast form October was a bunch of sh*t. I just hope we get the rain.
  6. Right on time, as predicted in my forecast last month. I said the 15th a little early. I am still going with my original thoughts, moderate rains after mid Novmeber, a 1-3 inch snow event around Thanksgiving and then the arctic air invades after Dec 7 November 4 664 replies tropics heavy rainfall (and 5 more)
  7. Thaks Mike but a case in point? what if numerous lighting strikes were around? Would that enhance the probability of rapid fire spread as well? I know red flag warnings are for high wind but what about other natural weather features like lighting have any effect on issuing a red flag warning. It almost seems that the ignition sources and their amounts must have a play in this somewhere for issuing red flag warnings.
  8. from the drought guy. This a first for me guys please foward this to MT Holly. How dry is it? Enough low humidity to intiate spontaneous combustion. Red flag warnings really should be issued again MT Holly. This came as an alert to me a few minutes ago. Hello Lower Macungie Township Residents, The yard waste recycling center located at 5536 Indian Creek Road will be closed today, Friday November 15th. The mulch pile is currently emitting spontaneous flames and in order to maintain public safety, the site will be closed for the day. We sincerely apologize for the inconvenience.
  9. The pattern will have abrupt change by Thanksgiving like I have been saying for at least a month or two. I expect moderate rains by the end of next week and then bam a nice little snow event. This mornings GFS run is in agreement. Time to shutoff the outside faucets and rake up the rest of the leaves by next Wednsday as the extreme dinural temp regime we have been in will be gone as well as the high in the 60's. I a mstill seeing a Christmas snow event too. The cold air is starting to be in place as the storms form to the SW in the models. Its a chance LOL
  10. the drought guy wants you to understand how bad this drought is--- Green Lake reservoir which is Phillys primary water source- yesterdays picture. Why a drought emergency has not been declared is unknown- what is wrong with these govt folks" I was not shitting when I said it was the lowest level I have ever seen
  11. .17 here in macungie. Barely over .10. Dry begats dry. Now the Chinook/Santa Ana NW winds kick in the next few days with more red flag warning/fire watches. 30 mph dry NW winds will ring out what little moisture we got last night. This rain we got just kept the dust down and thats it . I am waiting for the end of next week when this stubborn pattern finally breaks down and we more constant rain events and even have chances of snow showers.
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