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TARHEELPROGRAMMER88

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Everything posted by TARHEELPROGRAMMER88

  1. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    With climate change, it may be nearly impossible now. I am sure it will happen again but the gaps in between will grow.
  2. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    CBS explains things for folks here in the Triangle. Cold rain for you and cold rain for you!
  3. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    AI for the win!
  4. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Going to be here for these next few systems if someone needs to talk about next winter.
  5. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Will be a PA north storm in a few runs at this rate. Wild stuff. We went from great set up for a few chances to poo poo quick.
  6. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    The models have now switched to the outcome I anticipated. First wave is too far north and the second wave is suppressed. Snow is becoming more and more of a rare event here in the southeast. It was already something that required near perfect setups. We are already on borrowed time this winter with models showing the cold pattern breaking up after these two chances. Fab Feb?
  7. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Why stop there?
  8. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Problem is the trend is not our friend here. Models are more amped and trending towards Virginia north receiving the goods. This may be over for us south of VA in the next run or two. There may be some sleet or freezing rain, but even that may be cut down some. I wouldn't say VA scores either, unless this northern trend stops.
  9. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    GFS may be about to cave to the northern solution? Looks a tad higher and less cold air at 108 hours.
  10. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Sometimes in our lives, we all have pain We all have sorrow But if we are wise We know that there’s always tomorrow I told you not to give in, that pain would be the only result. NC doesn't receive snow anymore. It can only snow a little bit every 4 years now. Climate change will have us all memorizing the lyrics to Lean on Me.
  11. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    We are distant relatives.
  12. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Set up is there but warmer. Only model showing a major storm is the GFS. Ensembles for GFS and CMC look fine. ECMWF is lacking and so is the ensembles. CMC is a storm for Virginia.
  13. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Support has dropped from the EPS and Euro. CMC is showing a rain storm and then not much. Seems like the GFS is on an island. The 06z GFS run basically moved the first storm into Virginia. The second storm is there but cold seems to start retreating right when it hits, so the third storm behind it likely won't have enough cold. However, it is all out into lala land at that point.
  14. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Question, what time frame does it show this? Is it the 6th or 8th/9th?
  15. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    I am here everyone
  16. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    The models have been kicking the can down the road for the last few runs. If they keep it up, we will be talking about late January storms. The mean is slowly going down too. We have seen this show before.
  17. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Anyone have the GEFS ensemble mean trend from 0z to 18z?
  18. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    I will be in here the week of January 6th for a shoulder to cry on. Bookmark it!
  19. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    The means are starting to drop and moisture seems to be getting suppressed on ensemble. GFS actually looks to be cutting the first storm and suppressing the second on the op. However, the means went down across all ensembles in recent runs. We all have seen this show before. The cold will be there though.
  20. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Until I see a big dog happen again, I am going to assume that it is impossible for it to happen in NC and for sure in SC. The FL snow would be hilarious and I would actually love to see it happen for those who haven't experienced it in a very long time or ever. Snow storms just don't happen in NC outside of the mountains anymore. Climate change or something else IDK. Models are starting to back off and they rarely ever increase after they start this slide. Going to be very cold and dry for much of us.
  21. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Trends seem to be colder but the moisture is cutting, I agree. Dry, cold or warmer and wet. It has become harder to see the cold and wet link up in NC/SC. We do need the cold first, and that appears to be there on all models.
  22. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    I went out and made frost angels. The closest we can come to snow here in the Raleigh area nowadays. Is snow even possible here anymore? Hey, climate change isn't real, am I right? Smh.
  23. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Agreed but couldn't CC be causing that? Changes globally could be creating an imbalance. I saw a stat that in Charlotte, 4 of the top 5 longest snow droughts have happened in the last 30 years. This was before a recent snow but kind of a wild stat.
  24. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Yes, I am here and I am reporting our certain doom!
  25. TARHEELPROGRAMMER88
    Anyone still believe that climate change is not real?
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