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StantonParkHoya

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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya

  1. StantonParkHoya
    TS force winds all the way up to Atlanta
  2. StantonParkHoya
    As others have pointed out, Bermuda is not really a “traditional tropical island”… heck, their new airport is nicer than any in the US
  3. StantonParkHoya
    All of the Euro ensemble solutions that threaten US landfall basically dissipate Fiona over Hispaniola which allows it to survive and get caught up in the westerlies flow. It still gets caught by the mega trough later on. Low probability outcome.
  4. StantonParkHoya
    Really concerned for Bermuda as well
  5. StantonParkHoya
    Just watched. Great synopsis. Does mention that even if it does get closer to NA, the mega trough would clean it up.
  6. StantonParkHoya
    We may need to shift our concern/tracking to potential impacts on Bermuda if the GFS is to be believed; potential cat 4/5 bearing down.
  7. StantonParkHoya
    It also may go east of Bermuda. Way OTS.
  8. StantonParkHoya
    Looks like about 90% of GEFS members recurve
  9. StantonParkHoya
    GFS wayyyyyyy OTS. Not even close.
  10. StantonParkHoya
    I think it really is a question of does this survive through the Caribbean. If it flushes Hispaniola, this thread is for nought.
  11. StantonParkHoya
    OBX scraper. I suppose the whole window of options is available.
  12. StantonParkHoya
    Except 80% of the modeling favors the latter fish path right now
  13. StantonParkHoya
    There’s always November. Maybe the weirds will score on a Frankenstein storm.
  14. StantonParkHoya
    This is analogous to the snow weenies annual "we can get good storms in March and April"....
  15. StantonParkHoya
    Compared to the quietest period in Atlantic hurricane history? Sure. I'll throw you that bone.
  16. StantonParkHoya
    The same models that have had a train of ghost storms all season only for little to materialize? I swear the folks on here who act like this is an active season are no better weenies than the snow freaks. And don't give me the ACE bs -- no one cares how much power is churning off the coast of Greenland.
  17. StantonParkHoya
    My dude, are you trying to pretend this is an active season?
  18. StantonParkHoya
    I am actually glad/hopeful about a record slow tropical year. I think it will force us to take a look in the mirror and realize activity is not simply dictated by + ocean temps or climatic forces.
  19. StantonParkHoya
    Which is the absolute peak of the season. Ensembles not showing much through the middle of the month. Once September ends, you’ve got autumn troughs picking up and less landfall threat.
  20. StantonParkHoya
    Now the GFS has basically even lost the Gulf system of any significance.
  21. StantonParkHoya
    Problem is La Niña loves a train of autumn cold fronts
  22. StantonParkHoya
    We can say we’re at 3 storms already, but that “cloudy swirl” off the SC coast in July should not have been classified.
  23. StantonParkHoya
    Spring arrives in 6 days folks. Get your gardening supplies dusted off and the lawn mowers tuned up. I’ve got trees blooming all over here in Raleigh.
  24. StantonParkHoya
    That’s a cold rain pattern east of Boone in March. Need some purples.
  25. StantonParkHoya
    12 more days and it will have to be a spring storm
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