StantonParkHoya
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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya
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As has been mentioned, winds are really a non issue compared to the surge
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The trough position really hasn’t change, it’s more storm speed/trajectory
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Kind of lurches it around to a Big Bend landfall
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Interesting they keep that NE trajectory longer term even with a H sliding off New England and models turning it NW after landfall
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Idk. I think the NHC forecast position is just about right.
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Ensembles, not operationals
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Euro goes Tampa-Atlanta-Knoxville-Columbus
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Just crawls up the peninsula. Maybe not even a TS by the time it enters GA.
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Euro’s eyes still locked on Tampa
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CMC actually slower and a touch west this run
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I’m betting they coalesce around Big Bend in the end
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Sure feels like some people wishcasting an east trend just to see mayhem for Tampa…
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1001mb at 11am
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Sure looks like it’s still heading due west, not NW like forecasted
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18 years in modeling advancements
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It was in the 30s with frost in Boone, NC. Can’t recall many tropical systems of consequence after that stuff starts.
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This is simply not true as most hurricane models are into the Panama City to Big Bend areas.
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Honestly between 0z run yesterday of the Euro and 0z today, it’s maybe a 40 mile difference in track. Noise. Split the difference with GFS is right where NHC has it. Big bend to central GA.
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0z Euro straight into Tampa; crawling up Florida, only makes it to Gainesville in 24 hours. Looks like it’s heading to Atlanta. overall pretty similar to 12z
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Ah my bad. Looks about same position.
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Also a narrowing of the envelope from PC to Big Bend.
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GFS going in at Panama City, very slight tick east
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It’s sitting in Daytona and not even raining in charleston
