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StantonParkHoya

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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya

  1. StantonParkHoya
    Yeah, the physics model is making gambles
  2. StantonParkHoya
    They’re riding the Alabama line, or even west of it fully in AL
  3. StantonParkHoya
    Interesting. Most go west of ATL it appears.
  4. StantonParkHoya
    Asheville going to be a mess
  5. StantonParkHoya
    We sure this is going to miss land?
  6. StantonParkHoya
  7. StantonParkHoya
    You should provide a basis for claims on why you think the track will be east Unsubstantiated claims or hypotheses without rationale amount to wishcasting
  8. StantonParkHoya
    Best hope is it does indeed traverse Yucatán to knock it down
  9. StantonParkHoya
    18z GFS landfall a little west of 12z Pretty wild it goes from landfall to Atlanta in 6 hours
  10. StantonParkHoya
    These wobbles are subjective and subject to verification. Eyeballing doesn’t mean it’s real or happening.
  11. StantonParkHoya
    Can we stop with the wobble monitoring?
  12. StantonParkHoya
    Yeah, call me skeptical. Never seen a TC that didn’t begin weakening rapidly upon LF.
  13. StantonParkHoya
    0z GFS a little quicker and a little weaker. Maybe cat 2 at landfall.
  14. StantonParkHoya
  15. StantonParkHoya
    Shear forecast to increase as it approaches
  16. StantonParkHoya
    Outside of Beryl, every other storm has struggled this year. Let’s hope that trend continues.
  17. StantonParkHoya
  18. StantonParkHoya
    0z hurricane models really tight from Apalachicola to Atlanta
  19. StantonParkHoya
    18z GFS weaker and sw of 12z
  20. StantonParkHoya
    I’m talking about spread on landfall location
  21. StantonParkHoya
    Models have definitely tightened up today
  22. StantonParkHoya
    GFS kind of looks convective feedbacky to me the way it jumps the low with the convection. Don’t know if that’s possible at that hour at that resolution but whatever. its only 1000 miles different from 18z CMC is in SW Arkansas at 222, GFS is off Cape of Maine.
  23. StantonParkHoya
    Or it could always be…nothing at all
  24. StantonParkHoya
    What’s 1200 miles amongst friends?
  25. StantonParkHoya
    12z ICON extrapolated looks heading for Corpus Christi — Houston
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