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StantonParkHoya

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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya

  1. StantonParkHoya
    I mean lol… the models have no damn idea. Going from cold and suppressed to mixing issues….
  2. StantonParkHoya
    Snowing in Dallas, less suppressed so far on 12z GFS
  3. StantonParkHoya
    If the sw didn’t get buried back into the Baja, we’d be in the game. It’s discouraging because it’s so so close.
  4. StantonParkHoya
    An aside to the discussion but you’ve got to be a real winter wx sicko to hope for ice
  5. StantonParkHoya
    18z Euro has the Monday deal so far north that DC mixes at the end. SLP into PA
  6. StantonParkHoya
    Lol, totally different shortwave
  7. StantonParkHoya
    We’ve moved on from that wave. Does nothing for us. 10/11/12 in focus.
  8. StantonParkHoya
    GL low kills BL, precip stays suppressed. Gross run.
  9. StantonParkHoya
    It’s all going to come down to how it interacts with the sw diving down occurs. Does the energy eject and partially phase? That’s how we get the big dog outcomes
  10. StantonParkHoya
    Looks a lot like the GFS. Foot+ for much of the board
  11. StantonParkHoya
    I mean the Euro does have a 1001 SLP off the SE coast.. it’s a signal at least and it has a bias of holding energy in the SW back too long. When it does that, I believe the guidance is to consult handling by the UKMET. Who has that old guide on model biases and checks?
  12. StantonParkHoya
    12z CMC also likes southern / coastal areas for 10/11
  13. StantonParkHoya
    Print it. Take it now. End the runs.
  14. StantonParkHoya
    Big dog incoming??
  15. StantonParkHoya
    RDU folks should monitor the Dallas-Rule. If it’s snowing in the big D next Thursday, get your shovels ready.
  16. StantonParkHoya
    The north shifts always happen. Always. Which is why I don’t mind suppression showing for the 10/11th deal so much.
  17. StantonParkHoya
    I don’t like February as a snow month around here — of course we can — but that month is on a march toward spring with every day getting exponentially longer and with a higher sun angle. By end of month, it gets really difficult with BL.
  18. StantonParkHoya
    I almost think you want the first system to cut west/north if you want the 10/11 system to pop as it would set up the baroclinic zone closer to the coast
  19. StantonParkHoya
    Only 175 mile difference
  20. StantonParkHoya
    Main thing I’ve noticed is how bad most on this board are at reading synoptic set ups
  21. StantonParkHoya
    I’ve rarely seen us cash in on the first threat. Usually that’s our 50/50 low setting up.
  22. StantonParkHoya
    Are you trolling?
  23. StantonParkHoya
    Both — please stop. This has been debunked many many times. Not to mention we will have multiple days in the 40s and nights below freezing before any chances.
  24. StantonParkHoya
    Coastal NC keeps finding a way every run…
  25. StantonParkHoya
    Mean usually follows the OP in some regard
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