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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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GFS won't adjust until later tomorrow.
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I like a blend of cmc and euro right now.
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And that makes perfect sense. UKIE OTL on its latest run.
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Please lock that run in weather Gods. Thank you.
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There is no way Albany is getting 2 ft. Just not going to happen.
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Right now you can throw out the Ukie and GFS IMO. Right now I'm taking a blend of Euro/CMC and nam when in range.
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Yup. No way Albany is getting 2 ft either. Not going to happen. I still think NYC metro sees close to a ft.
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Yes with that latest UKIE run I agree.
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Yes, I was talking about those models being further north and west with a bigger precip shield vs the GFS.
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Its the CMC/Euro/Ukie/Icon even Nam vs the outlier GFS.
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Thats a really big question right now.
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Ukie had big numbers N and W also, CMC also to an extent.
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There was some decent run to run consistency for awhile. Now all hell has broken loose.
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Wow. You get crushed in Orange county on that run.
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There are going to be some big numbers on the Euro.
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Thats not the UK, its the 12z Euro. Anthony posted UK on previous page.
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According to the models I can expect anywhere between 4 and 18.
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I don't think it will either but I'm still scarred by Jonas. I saw 3 flakes.
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We will see. I don't deny the blocking. I have always been concerned about it being north of 84. I just don't think it will be due north and then due east with out some northerly component.
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I think the handling of the low by the GFS is a little fugazy. It basically goes straight north from hours 96 to 102 and then takes a right turn when it feels the blocking and goes due east. I just don't think that will happen. I think it will be more ene.
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Yup. They are in a very good position with this one.
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Meanwhile the 12z operational Euro was the opposite. In HV the qpf was much lower than 00z so who knows.
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