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Cheers for Western Ears

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  1. Cheers for Western Ears
    I know this is a little late but... here is a shot I had the chance to get with drone from the Blue Ridge Parkway this past Sunday. I was fairly impressed that so many leaves were still on the trees after the hard rain and wind from Saturday night.
  2. Cheers for Western Ears
    Curious as to how this upcoming couple of weeks of forecast temps, should they verify, compare to the past couple of years? Seems odd for it to be so warm so late in the year. Even compared to the last couple of years.
  3. Cheers for Western Ears
    Seems like the fv3 came a little north of the 18z. Not a bad look at this stage.
  4. Cheers for Western Ears
    How did the 12z op run look?
  5. Cheers for Western Ears
    It is encouraging to continue to see support from both the GFS as well as the Fv3 (op runs that is) is the Euro still in agreement at all?
  6. Cheers for Western Ears
    Where did you find this?
  7. Cheers for Western Ears
    Seems like the chances of some backside snow look better for NC folks as well. According to the 12z fv3 that is..
  8. Cheers for Western Ears
    In a good way or bad way precip wise?
  9. Cheers for Western Ears
    Do you guys expect the all too common nw trend to commence in the next day or so or are you guys fairly confident it will stay suppressed until show time?
  10. Cheers for Western Ears
    Grit, would you feel safe saying the mtns around boone/ashe could see over a foot realistically? Also are Temps a concern based off the latest models?
  11. Cheers for Western Ears
    Is it not a rarity to have so many models on board with a similar storm track at this point? I feel as if most of the time it is 2 vs. 2 or 3 vs. 1. I realize the fact that some solutions are warmer than others but they seem to all have a similar storm track (slider rather than cutter).
  12. Cheers for Western Ears
    Thanks for the reply Griteater. So I guess that is why they say you should wait until within 48 hours until you really start trusting the NAM and not long range?
  13. Cheers for Western Ears
    I know that the NAM in the past has been relatively good with thermal profiles, but would you guys agree that the NAM has somewhat of a cold bias?
  14. Cheers for Western Ears
    Okay, Thanks. New to the forum so I appreciate the response.
  15. Cheers for Western Ears
    Even though the HP is somewhat weaker with this run of the GFS, it is a good sign that the HP is hanging back some and lower correct? I believe that is what is causing the run to be more suppressed compared to the 6z?
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