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TampaMan

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Everything posted by TampaMan

  1. TampaMan
    Boohoo.
  2. TampaMan
    Euro seems to be more distancing itself away from the GFS to me. And we know who usually wins.
  3. TampaMan
    The NAM is concerning me for the Richmond area. Other models look decent, 4-6 inches but likely 2-3 due to the warmth.
  4. TampaMan
    This is pretty much what I've expected to happen the entire time. Sadly.
  5. TampaMan
    NAM looks way drier than the other models thus far. Also has a second batch arriving Tuesday night into Wednesday that looks to be all rain. Feeling very meh about this system right now. I imagine it won't be very strong.
  6. TampaMan
    We're looking at a very early start time being Tuesday morning right?
  7. TampaMan
    Let’s see what the king says shortly.
  8. TampaMan
    If those totals verify that rain is not washing away all of that. Now if it’s nearly 50 degrees yeah it’s gone. At least we can likely prepare for a day off Tuesday / Wednesday possibly Thursday for now. (Well remote work for me)
  9. TampaMan
    Well I’ll be damned. The 0z is an absolute beauty for us.
  10. TampaMan
    Not sure what you’re seeing. Still a decent event board wide. Richmond cashes in yeah but according to the euro thus far it’s everybody’s game still.
  11. TampaMan
    Woo! I dig the run for the first system.
  12. TampaMan
    Naw we gonna eat down here in Central VA this time.
  13. TampaMan
    We’ve been fooled by this before. I like the southern trend on the euro. Just have to be cautious because it likes to creep right back up. Especially at the 0z and 18z hours.
  14. TampaMan
    No, that’s not how it works. At all. Not hating, just saying lol. Cold air moves, as does warm air. It can be warmed and/or colder anywhere in the country. It can be 25 in Louisiana and 60 in Richmond.
  15. TampaMan
    Well the cold air seems to be shifting a bit every run so we will see. I’m very skeptical down here as anyone would be.
  16. TampaMan
    Looks like Richmond is back in the game for Tuesday. I don’t believe in the GFS. Weenies in our thread would take it to dinner and sleep with it if they could. I’m leaning heavily on the euro here for Richmond.
  17. TampaMan
    Still highly doubtful the GFS is even close to being realistic. I’ll hold off until I see the Euro.
  18. TampaMan
    How are you determining there’s up to a 40% chance of 3-5” based on one model? Also, I tend to lean towards RIC Airports opinions. He leads with logic and past events, so anything I’ve posted is pretty much an echo of his words. We speak outside of this board.
  19. TampaMan
    I get the vibe that you’re using “hope” instead of logic right now. No other viable model is showing accumulating snow. On top of that the GFS is slowly caving to the Euro. We all “hope” for snow but that doesn’t make it a forecast because one model notorious for being over amped and south is showing something while the rest slam NOVA.
  20. TampaMan
    Not buying the GFS. It will cave to the Euro soon enough. Probably the 12z or 18z if I had to guess. I get we hope for snow but we also have to be realistic. I’d say a front end snow start following by heavy cold rain is the likely scenario. Likely no accumulation.
  21. TampaMan
    I’d like to agree with you but I am highly doubtful we see anything more than a dusting. Like I said, not trying to be a downer. I’m just relying on the last few months / years of the same occurrences happening over and over again. Don’t be shocked to see it ALL shift even well above DC.
  22. TampaMan
    This is what I’m getting at. Getting excited and posting weenie maps in our region 7-10 days before the event is asking to deflate hopes. Yes, I do hate saying it. I want snow, everyone does. The realistic truth is that we are not in the best position anymore and it quite literally takes a miracle to get a decent 6+ inch event here. We haven’t had 8+ inches in over 7 years.
  23. TampaMan
    As much as I hate to say it, sadly we will likely only getting cold rain. Maybe a brief wintery mix to start. Meh. Not to be a Debi downer but I just don’t see it this time.
  24. TampaMan
    Richmond sucks.
  25. TampaMan
    100% what’s gonna happen lol
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