TampaMan

Sadly, looks like this dry slot refuses to back fill. Damn.

I don’t think anywhere around here has gotten over a dusting. Just my opinion. Even grassy areas around here are barely getting stuck to. It’s too warm. We ain’t getting more than 3 inches.

I think western Henrico / short pump will bode very well. I don’t think roads will cave today.

Every model besides the HRRR have gone North. Including the GFS. Uh oh

I guess you’re just naturally argumentative. I’m not here to debate about anything. If you think I’m saying you’re lying by my comments that’s fine, but I wasn’t. There’s a difference between apps and actual temperatures. For example, the weather app on iPhones tends to exaggerate everything and is completely wrong on start times, even for rain. If you use weather bug for that, great- nothing wrong with that. I just know sometimes apps are wrong and was curious if you had an outdoor thermometer to verify it. I hope I cleared that up enough for you. Back to the system we’re tracking.

I said I didn’t think you’re lying. I was just curious to see if it was actual temps or an app my guy. Holy.

I’d say look at the GRAF too. It’s been nearly 100% spot on even with rain. NBC12 has the GRAF on their interactive radar. Just click “future” and it’ll show the next 8 hours of precip.

What? All I was asking for was if you were seeing that on an app or on a physical thermometer. Not sure how therapy came into the conversation.

I’m not saying you’re lying that’s just very low for what’s projected.

Can you verify that it is 28 out? It’s 35 in Henrico and my outdoor thermometer is saying 34.7

While the HRRR is a tad north, it still provides higher rates for metro.

Now that I watch the GRAF again, dry slotting could become a major issue as it usually does for us. Will it stay south of Chester is the real question.

1.7

I'll play too. KRIC 1.2 Ashland 5.8 Ruther Glen 6.3 Fredericksburg 6.7 Woodbridge 5.4 DCA 3.1 BWI 1.2 Norfolk 0 Newport News 0

That Tuckahoe call is quite hefty. I hope you're right. I'll give you a dollar for every inch of you get over 5".

If this verifies, (your predictions @mikeeng92). I'll personally venmo you for every inch I get here 3 miles east of Short Pump. Edit: Excuse me, I'm 5.2 miles East of Short Pump.

Oh, I still think I'll get 1-2 inches. Ashland will definitely see upwards of 6-9 inches. IF temps hold, Short Pump will see 5-6". I live 3 miles from there. I'm still thinking we start later and switch over earlier than anticipated.

I disagree here. I think Ashland will see a good amount of 7-9 inch measurements. Short Pump to about 64/Glenside will see likely 5.

The GRAF isn’t great for anyone south of the river but it bodes well for short pump, tuckahoe areas. Obviously RIC is east so I do expect the airports total to be lower.

This actually looks really good for Richmond. Has it snowing heavy until around 5 pm or so. Those 6” areas can definitely be achieved if accurate. If this model verified I’d be sitting at 6-8” here about 3 miles east of Shortpump.

AKQ is calling for 4-6” for my area in Henrico.

Final calls everybody. Let’s hear em. Richmond Metro. I’m going with 1-2 inches of wet sloppy snow with a quick turnover to sleet/freezing rain by noon to all rain by 2-3 pm.

According to the GFS I’ll get between 7-8”. That model is on crack for this storm for some reason.

Need the NAM to get on board. Likely too late. GFS / HRRR vs Euro/NAM

They are being conservative. Understandably.