OrdIowPitMsp

Heaviest totals are going to end up 50-75 miles south of where it was modeled. Snow is just about done in the metro but it’s rocking in southern Minnesota. 

MSP reporting 5” at the noon update. Should tack on another 1-2” this afternoon. 

6” reports starting to flow in south of the metro. That area is in line for more moderate snow in the coming hours. Might be a zone of 8-10” when all is said and done. 

Fairbault to Rochester up to the southern suburbs might be the jackpot zone. I’m eyeballing around 4”, there’s a 5.2” report in Richfield. 
 

Expecting a lull late morning until the wrap around bands come through this afternoon. 

10 minutes ago, mnchaserguy said:

Looks like this thing came in well south of where the models showed it would. Wonder where the bullseye ends up now.


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Yeah the WSW was expanded south, seems to be the trend this winter.

Airport reported 1.6” at 6am. 

19F, 1/2mi visibility and moderate to heavy snow.

Looking really good out there this morning. MPX bumped the metro up to 5-7”

1 hour ago, RogueWaves said:

GRR: "No headlines at this time" (said in a soup nazi "no snow for you" tone)

Maybe your office was waiting to see the whites of it's eyes as well?

APX: "meh, it's just not the same as 2 feet of LES" nothing to see here..

No headlines, but we do get maps:

Do the Michigan WFOs play a game of chicken to see who will issue a WWA first?

3 hours ago, mnchaserguy said:

I went from nothing to Winter Storm Warning. Just gotta hope that dry slot doesn’t screw me over tomorrow. 10-20 miles could make a big difference in what I get vs what @Ordlowpitmsp gets tomorrow.


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Pretty odd. Not sure I’ve ever seen us go from nothing to a winter storm warning before, but I’ll certainly take it. I’d feel a bit better being by you in the north metro. Anoka county should be in a prime spot. I haven’t had a ton of time to look at the high res models today but the city should be good for at least 4”+ 

8 hours ago, mnchaserguy said:

Clipper systems are annoyingly finicky. Looks like we’ll miss out on the snow today in Minneapolis. Still on track to get a decent amount from a more potent clipper on Thursday.


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We got dusted in south Minneapolis. Probably 0.1-0.2, wasn’t expecting it tbh. 

Lock it in. If you want snow, head north my friends.

4 hours ago, mnchaserguy said:

Looks like a couple of chances for snow here in Minneapolis this week. An inch or two tomorrow night then a bigger clipper system on Thursday. Still a bit of spread in the models for both systems but either way we should pick up some snow this week.


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Tomorrow looks like a nice cosmic coating, but Thursday has my attention. I’m selfishly worried about the metro being a county or two south of the main action but we could easily score 3-6” out of that one. 
 

Since 2000, Minneapolis has 69% odds of a white Christmas. That drops to 60% the last 10 years. Thursdays system will probably determine it this year. 

Manager only 0.05” of precipitation yesterday. Mostly sleet with some freezing rain. 
 

Freezing fog has everything extra slick this morning. 

We’ve stayed mostly frozen hydrometers in the city. Just a touch of freezing rain to glaze things. Not even sure if we’ll see 0.10” of precipitation. This really fizzled out imby.

Drying trend on the hi-res models today, but at this point radar trends are all that matter. Maybe an inch of snow/sleet tomorrow. When it’s been cold and dry keep expecting the same I guess.

Temps held steady at 0 all night but we managed to sneak below zero for an official low of -1F. 3rd low below zero of the season.

Tomorrow looks interesting. WWA for ice, but we could see the warm wedge aloft have a little less juice and end up with 2-3” of snow. 

-8F this morning. 

Love it or leave it. 

KMSP has fallen below zero for the first time in the 24/25 cold season as of 7pm this evening.

-1F

0.6” at the airport today. 

2.3” season to date.

+1F

Sunset a few minutes ago and already down to 4F. Our coldest temp of the season.

Half inch overnight with the arctic front. Snow squalls went through the metro half an hour ago and deposited a few tenths more. Temp at 10 and falling.

Arctic Front later today, first temps below zero of the season and potential system fri/sat. 
 

Nice to have a bit of an active stretch. 

5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

ensembles have been running hot so not surprising 

lock it in

 

Bummer I’ll be in SoCal. Gotten lucky the last handful of years with AA temps so was due for a clunker in the desert.

Average highs are in the mid/upper 20s for my area come mid December, so a warm and wet pattern might turn out alright imby. 

Remaining patches of snow in the yard will get obliterated today and tomorrow. Back to BN temps next week. Lakes are starting to see the annual return of ice fishing shacks, my ski hill has been making tons of snow during this cold stretch. Should be a great day on the slopes today. 

Already down to 12F at MSP. If winds weren’t sustained at 30+ and gusting near 50mph we’d drop below zero tonight.