OrdIowPitMsp

This has turned into a nuisance 2-4” snowfall at best for the Twin Cities. Old patterns die hard. 

20 minutes ago, RogueWaves said:

I thought your region just scored with Monday's system?

MSP picked up 0.9” 

2 counties north of the metro scored 3-4” 

5 hours ago, mnchaserguy said:

Euro has almost completely dried up for us in MSP. Hrrr still says we will have a decent storm. Who knows which one is right. Would lean towards the high res but the models are a crap shoot these days.


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While out of range the 3km NAM is showing the main band well north of the metro and we get the dry slot. Honestly with the way this winter has gone I’ll be happy to score 4” but I’m not feeling as confident about that anymore. 

1 hour ago, mnchaserguy said:

At this rate it seems like it’s going to end up being about half that. That dry slot could really mess things up too.


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That would be par for the course the way this winter has played out. Just can’t get juicy storms to enter our region. 

This looks good, hopefully the drying trend stops or reverses. 

0.5”-1” is my best guess for mby. 

2/7-2/8 is looking like a good hit for MSP. GFS and Euro both in agreement with 0.50”+ of precipitation and SLRs of 15:1-20:1. I’d start a thread but it would be an echo chamber of me. Time to get the powder skis waxed. 

Temps overachieved on the low end. Down to -1F at MSP this morning. 

There was so much thundersnow during the April 2018 Blizzard here that the novelty of it *almost* wore off for a few years. 

MPX was very bullish on the weekend potential. Wednesday doesn’t look that impressive here though, my location is too far south, north and west of most of the precipitation.

MSP picked up 0.9” so my 1” eyeball was just about spot on. 4-5” up in Little Falls.

Picked up about an inch at my house. Half that much at my office 10 miles south.
 

Driving up to Little Falls MN this morning for a job, it’s halfway between St. Cloud and Brainerd so I’m expecting at least 2-3” there.

Hennepin and Ramsey counties were added to a WWA for 2-4” tonight. I’m only expecting ~1” imby but we’ll see. The gradient from less then an inch to 4” is going to be very narrow.

In Euro I trust. 

Picked up a few tenths today. Ground is white again. Might grab another inch tomorrow night but someone a few counties north is going to jackpot 3-5” 

February could pass our January snowfall total by tomorrow night. I’ll take a February 2019 repeat please. That month featured 39” of snow here. NWS wants to play ball in the morning AFD. 

All these
events should slowly chip away at the seasonal snow deficit but we
have a lot of ground to make up... We`ll have to do our best
February 2019 impression to make it happen.

Near miss north today. Might lay down up to a half inch but I’m not holding my breath.  More intrigued by tomorrow evening, there is a signal for a thermal gradient snow event to setup. These tend to over preform. Hopefully it’s not another near miss north.

Sunny and mild here.

18z NAM teasing a quick snow squall here tomorrow afternoon. 

Globals teased MSP being on the south end of accumulating snow tomorrow afternoon.

Hi-res coming into view says best we can do is FZDZ as everything comes together further east in Wisconsin. 

Overpreforming at MSP. Smashed the old record of 48, it’s currently 51. Naturally I played hooky from work and took the 3 year old skiing today.

1 hour ago, bowtie` said:

Can not access the five minute data for KIND nor KLOT but it was breezy this afternoon...

 

Been having this issue with KMPX too 

22 minutes ago, Maxim said:

That’s it? damn

Life on the 45th. 
 

Go up to International Falls, several January daily record high temps in the 30s. 

14 minutes ago, beavis1729 said:

It's bad enough this winter in MSP...but I just saw that Mason City IA has 2.7" of snow for the entire season, and Omaha NE has 1.0".  There aren't really enough words in the English language to describe how bad this is. 

Even worse, it applies to a wide swath of geography across the lower 48...basically coast-to-coast north of 40N outside of the lake belts.    

Not trying to polish a turd or anything but at least we haven’t been wasting precipitation on rain. It’s just been very dry across the region this year. Outside of this week and the week after Christmas temperatures have been seasonable this winter as well. 

46 currently. Record is 47, top shelf late January day for Minnesota. 
 

With not much snow on the ground I’ll take these warm days if it’s going to be dry. 

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

eating away at monthly departures to end the month, nice

Repeat of what happened in December. We were -5.3 will be interesting to see where we end up.