OrdIowPitMsp

High of 25 yesterday. More of the same today. Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

Today was the first subfreezing high temperature of the season for Minneapolis.
 

Topped out at 28.

Bottomed out at 17 here. 

Full sunshine here after around 1230pm today. Temperatures slowly dropped throughout the day. Should have our first overnight low in the teens tonight.  

Fell below freezing at 8:35am at the airport. Had some snow showers but nothing accumulating this far south.

Snow chances have fizzled here. Probably just a few flurries is all I’ll see in the headlights tomorrow driving to work at 6am. Always enjoy a good flash freeze though. 

2 hours ago, Brian D said:

A bit of snow on tap tonight into tomorrow am. Higher terrain could see up to 6". Looks like winter is starting to settle into the region. Here in town, very little with the warmer waters of the Lake keeping temps right around/just above freezing on an E wind. Typical this time of year. 

The NAM has been trending extending the snow south to brush Minneapolis along the cold front. We’ll see what the Hrrr brings as it comes into range. Might see a quick dusting overnight here before the prolonged freeze begins. 

No precipitation signal on the GFS, but my ski hill will be running the snow guns 24/7 and mud season will come to an end. 
Cold and suppressed is better then ridging and wet for midwest skiers.

384hr 12z GFS pitches a near precipitation shutout for my area. Frost depths are going to be deep. 

18 minutes ago, Frog Town said:

This pattern is turning out very December 2000ish

Don’t tease the Chicago crew with that reference. What a month to be a kid. 

Arctic air means the lakes freeze up and the ski hills can make snow. Hopefully as we get closer the hi-res models sniff out some clippers. Upcoming pattern bodes well for the winter outdoor activity industry here.

0.8” event total snowfall for Minneapolis 

MSP reported 0.1” on the day at 4pm. Will probably tack on a couple more tenths with the wave moving through right now. 

Heavy snow showers coming through the metro just in time for the evening rush. South of town is really going to cash in. 

30 and snow showers. Ground is already white and it looks like on/off snow showers most of the day today. 

1 hour ago, Malacka11 said:

Love to see (with my exceedingly amateur eyes) that maybe if there's an event or two somewhere in the subforum over the next few weeks, it's at least possible that there will be a little more cold air to work with than last year's screw over events

18z GFS has me below zero on Black Friday. Don’t think it will be that cold, but nonetheless great to see NW flow showing up instead of relentless pacific air masses. 

CAA has arrived imby. Hoping to get lucky and score a poor mans snow squall tomorrow for a DAB.

1.10” here, lower end of guidance but still a healthy event.
 

Temps warmed from 43 to 55 overnight, they will slowly drop throughout the day and then crash below freezing tonight.  

20 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said:

18Z says hold my beer 

30” at 10-1 imby.
I’ll be satisfied with 10% of that. 

Well it’s definitely going to rain a lot next week. Will be great to get that moisture before soils freeze up. Feeling much less confident about snow prospects, however a string of highs in the 30s will feel frigid with the autumn we’ve had. 

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Isnt that the truth? In winter I check every model, ensemble, weeklies, cfs, etc on a daily basis. When an actual snow event is on the doorstep, im analyzing p-type, looking at every model & short term models total qpf, if theres any ptype issues, last minute shifts north or south, etc.

In summer I only check when severe wx is forecast, or if an unusual hot or cool spell is on the way. 

Pretty much the same for me. It’s nice to check the hi-res models in summer to see if I’ll score some convection later in the day. 

Checking every model run to see updates on a potential cutoff low next week. Winter must be here.

4 hours ago, RogueWaves said:

Sad. Hit 19.9 here and NOT coldest of the season.

MSP is one of the top UHI locations in the country. Suburbs have had numerous sub freezing mornings in the mid 20s, but the city has only had 2 official freezes. It has been a very warm autumn as well. 

30 this morning. Coldest low of the season.