OrdIowPitMsp

Low of 16 this AM. Coldest of the season. Snow depth 3”

NWS feeling a lot more bullish than I am in Minneapolis. I think 1-2” is a reasonable call, they seem to think 2-5”. Either way, glad to see a deep freeze behind the snow. Get those lakes frozen already!

Riding the northern edge on the NAM at long range feels like definite miss south to me.

3.1” at MSP. Still blowing and snowing

40mph gusts all night making it impossible to measure but it looks like guidance was to bullish on snow totals. Seems like a 1-3” type event eyeballing from my kitchen.

Just flipped to snow here. Still thinking 3-4” with a solid ice/slush base from the 0.36” of rain earlier

I recall 2004 being a surprise white Thanksgiving. Rain changed to snow.

I should be in line for a nice snowpack refresher/boost with this one. Have models taken into account the snowpack that will be laid down across MN/WI tonight? Perhaps that will drive the baroclinic zone a tad south for the Chicago peeps. Never underestimate WAA though….

Dense fog and scattered showers this AM. Upgraded to a WSW overnight. I’m still only expecting 3-4” imby but with the combination of wind, busy travel period, and the first significant snowfall of the season I understand why the NWS felt like upgrading most of the southern half of the state.

First WWA of the season, so there’s that. Whatever sticks should have staying power. @weatherboif you are out there this should be a good one for you.

One last day of record warm temperatures before reality sets in. Getting the last of the yard work completed and tracking 3 systems, life is good.

Fantasy land on the GFS looks really good for the upper Midwest, but time will tell if it’s a trend or mirage. 0.03” of precipitation in November, something has got to give.

Worrying that there is only a slight risk over the Rockies. Snowpack in Colorado is near record low for this time of year.

Close call for the Twin Cities tomorrow. Bad thermals and a razor sharp northern edge.

Temperatures have overachieved today and we’ve set a new record high in Minneapolis. 72 breaking the old record of 71