I agree. Signals have not been great early. For what it's worth, the tropical Pacific is probably the best region to extend far out into the long range for any season. The eastern tropical Pacific seems to be cooling rather quickly. One saving grace is that the daily SOI today was -35 and that seems quite unusual with the beginning stages of a possible nina. Beyond that, I like to find analogs of global ssta values globally compared to other years. I haven't looked at analogs yet myself.
Personally, I'm all for sharing sub-regions. Just don't overstay your welcome, because the other guys will make your time rather unpleasant if you do. As long as you don't talk about your region here, you should be fine.
MyFoxDC's Mike Thomas pointed out that soundings are looking better than some of the model depicted precip-types fwiw. You can confirm it on PivitolWeather.
I'll do it for you. That depth map is a joke! Kuchera looks more realistic.
eta: fv3 is a disaster for D.C.
https://maps4.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs_fv3/2019021918/030/snku_acc.us_ma.png