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BTRWx's Thanks Giving

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  1. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    hr 48 looks slightly less suppressive to the NE.
  2. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    hr24 on the euro...choose an isobar...half go south and half go north
  3. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Interesting to see the trend how the ridge over central Canada strengthens. At this rate, we'll have a better chance of the New England low dropping down to phase than the weak wave out of the central U.S.
  4. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    No change from fv3 from NCEP. Not looking good. eta: slightly south
  5. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    12 more nudges north and...
  6. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    NCEP fv3 has just south of D.C. as the northern fringe.
  7. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Only 4 lows from the ensembles?...
  8. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Earlier they removed the yellow shading over us, so something must be trending favorably. eta: It's odd how their color splits are always the same boundary! It's never west to east.
  9. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    This happens often at this range imo. I'm super optimistic!
  10. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    I have noticed that in previous years. (not universally of course)
  11. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    The positioning of that high is money!
  12. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Where exactly was the snow cutoff from the euro op? Everyone just fled after seeing it...
  13. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    What's not to like with those %?! eta: especially d5
  14. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    This eps map doesn't look that bad to me.
  15. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    BWI: 34" DCA: 24" IAD: 38" RIC: 17" Tiebreaker (SBY): 12"
  16. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Wait until after the deadline. lol
  17. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    DCA: 12/4 BWI: 11/4 IAD: 11/2 RIC: 12/1 Tiebreaker: 5.5"
  18. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Strong nino
  19. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    There's something about February ending winter nina droughts and other variables I haven't looked into yet.
  20. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    bump
  21. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Fwiw, 2014 ended its drought big time the first week of February.
  22. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    2011 was no dud, but I see why you mentioned that. No other 3 year span comes close to those though. eta: 1949-1953 may have been bad even with the low double digits overall, but the law of averages resulting from 2012-2013 ended in our favor.
  23. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    I don't think dca has ever had 3 extreme dud winters in a row (though this year isn't done yet).
  24. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Maybe the dynamics will reach the arctic faster to save us.
  25. BTRWx's Thanks Giving
    Seed the valleys
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