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BTRWx's Thanks Giving

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  1. There must be some debate between A.M. and P.M. forecasters at LWX on whether to forecast 6-8" or 4-6" for D.C.
  2. Fwiw, on tonight's CWG live stream Jeff Halverson went with 3.5" for DCA while Jason went with 5.7"and Wes went with 4.1". 4-8 seems pretty high right now.
  3. The GFS barely has 4" inside the beltway and some of that is mixed precipitation. Trends are not good.
  4. 3km nam starts dry. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2021013100/nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15.png
  5. Interesting to see the hrrr not dry slotting much for D.C.
  6. GFS has the low farther west pretty close to Ocean City midday Monday.
  7. CIPS top analog being 1996, a miller A storm, makes me really distrust them more.
  8. Interesting to see that the nina transitioned to a modoki event in the last week!
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