I used to think he knew what he was talking about. The issue I have with his '96 idea is he's basing the analog on a model for early January. I've learned that analoging works best when you compare to the current conditions and not using models to base an argument.
I was thinking that a good day to try this out would be the start of meteorological winter unless someone has a better suggestion. Maybe we'll have a Dec 5 threat to track?
You know what the forum hasn't done that should've taken place ages ago? A ZOOM call! We should totally set something up! I genuinely want to get to know people from here in real life.
I have a cool idea for forum members to collaborate on an ongoing project. What if we collectively did a blog on the most memorable events our forum has covered! Anyone can participate. The idea would be to write a brief summary for each event and include links to articles and data from the event! Anyone interested?
One thing that gets my hopes up this winter is we're coming out of a solar minimum and historically that has led to some really snowy winters! 1965-1966, 1986-1987, 1995-1996, and 2009-2010 (1977-1978 had lagged more following the minimum)