CADEffect
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Do you have a twitter account? -D .
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Looking Ahead to Fall and Winter
CADEffect replied to Iceagewhereartthou's topic in Southeastern States
Lets hope it holds...Last year was different -
Hi guys, South Carolina here more presumably the Upstate between Charlotte and Atlanta. Do you care if I stay for a bit. I'm always learning and its a little more exciting in this group.
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Now you have a snow weenie to take his place
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What do they use for their data to back this claim? balloons?
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Have you or others started looking at seasonal models yet? CSFv2 ect...
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What sucks most is that there is no where in the United States that has normal temps through December. per CPC
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I Agree it needs to be suppressed a bit further south for us in the Upstate
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Nice hit for North Carolina, Not so much for South. Really like the STJ energy on this run. Would like to see higher QPF not sure on trends yet
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on the less confident train of the FV3. NCAR is partnering with IBM on the new model to replace deep thunder/blunder.
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People actually uses the ICON?
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I agree the models has been doing horrible with this pattern change. The data changes more frequently with abnormal patterns
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So much for our "big dog" on the 31st.
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I still have hope for you guys on the same system. the Cold air is very potent in what's been modeled so far today.
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With the FV3, Euro and CNC all indicated a storm during this time frame. Its perfect for us in the western Carolinas. With the notorious NW trend these areas are already below540 on h5 maps. It will be interesting to see what the 0z Euro spits out with the temps. Just need the GEFS to come on bored then I think I start losing sleep. What about you guys?
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What is giving you that feeling?
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For what its worth, The Euro had a surprise at hr240 nice high sitting over Iowa and New England with a low forming over Louisiana was pushing southeast toward the GOM.
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The more our American models run the more I'm convinced something is a foot. 384hr the GFS has the 540line all the way in Baja California. Granted I know its 384 but you just don't see that. Some of the data also doesn't make sense. A warm up around the late on the 12z
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At least its a good look for the other boards. Like you said it wont materialize due to the fact its 384hrs. Side note: Where did you guys read that the shutdown was impacting the American weather models?
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You guys don't know how to handle this upcoming pattern change just like these models don't. Chill
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Wasn't that predicted in November with the ensembles? Cooler out west and warmer in the East for December? This goes in line with a moderate El Niño. The East gets hit hard with cold temps in February and March.
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A lot could still change...looks better then yesterday
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Agreed the FV3 showed this storm on Friday as a major miller A on the run 12z January 11. Now the GFS is sniffing one out. I must say I do like the HP placement at this time period
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For Guys I’m the RAH area. “We are sending out new WSW as we speak. The main change was to raise the storm total ice values for southern Davidson, Stanley, Randolph, Montgomery, Anson counties in particular. Values of .25 to .40 will be possible. Impacts will be numerous to potentially widespread power outages”
