kvegas-wx
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Everything posted by kvegas-wx
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Just mentioned this in banter. These short range models are not aligning with the current radar presentation. More moisture on the south side of the system and trajectory takes this well into NC towards the triad. Probably factoring in low DPs and drying this up quickly.
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Southeast Sanitarium - Winter 23/24 Edition
kvegas-wx replied to eyewall's topic in Southeastern States
Dunno, call me crazy, but thats a solid slug of moisture working in across southern TN and northern AL/GA. Unless it takes a hard left around Morganton it is going to make it to the triad. I'm sensing some surprise flakage incoming. NAM and HRRR have this too far north. Not validating what is on radar. Temps validating too high as well for points west. Have a little hope folks! -
Jan 8/9 Super Cutter - Rain, Severe, and Strong Winds
kvegas-wx replied to eyewall's topic in Southeastern States
Catawba Cty tornado crossed I40. Panovich tweeted 1 dead, 2 critical. Sad. -
I got you guys. Headed to Mt Rushmore for a project on the 21st. High temps there starting next week in the single digits. I'll drag that cold pool right on home with me on the 24th for a Burger Boom kind of system. Its coming, it has to be coming. That is an enormous dome of sub zero temps stacking up in the midwest.
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Unquestionably so.
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Aannnddd we move on to mid January. The cold is indeed coming, but is the pattern working with us or against us? Polar vortex coming to the party with a strat warming sure does sound nice in Jan/Feb, but not at the expense of our storm track. The drama builds and the clock is ticking!! (Am I the only one with Deja Vu here??)
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Congrats Milwaukee! After the shifts NW of course. This certainly seems to fit the narrative of the storm track we thought we would have this winter. But can we really keep in HP in place long enough to cash in is the question. Similarly, I'm tired of reading Joe Bustardi tweets selling me snake oil events based on "timing" again this year. Just go back to saying cuz we all knew those ducks were decoys to begin with Joe!
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Golf on Christmas weekend is NEVER a bad thing.
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And not a minute too soon. Sauratown Mountain next to Pilot Mt and Hanging Rock State Park had a fire today. Pretty bad one at that. Not sure if they got it under control but at least there was minimal wind. It is CRUNCHY out there!
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Great, so we have a strong opportunity at 38° and rain a few times later in the month. And then guess what? We get to Jan/Feb and we get °38 and rain again in a mild winter. Give me Indian summers in October. I'll save my below averages for Jan-Mar please.
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I didn't think this comment was serious at first, but after reading it again I see you added "ultra". Now I'm quite concerned. I plan on adding a canoe and waders to my disaster supplies. I will also go ahead and sell my snow plow blade on Facebook Marketplace while prices are high. Thank you for this information!
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Man I love coastal storms here in the triad. We get to have the icing and the cake, but don't have to mess with cleaning up the dishes. Nice and cool with a glorious breeze. Perfect night on the deck, but no rain...yet. I'm sure the OBX folks are knee deep in dirty dishes!
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Ok what is with all the wooly worms?? I have lived here in the Triad for 22 years and not once have I found wooly worms just crawling around my driveway. They are everywhere!! Is this just a local infestation or is mother nature trying to tell me to buy a snowblower??
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Ah! Good call! I agree, anything is possible.
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Strengthening rapidly, sure. But time and distance to the coast are both working against Idalia. It will take time to gather the structure needed to support Cat 4 (or high Cat 3) winds. I know we have seen some crazy RI storms the last few years, but 48-60 hours doesnt leave much room for ERCs when she is just now a TS. I would lean towards an intensifying Cat 2 at landfall. That said, these surface temps are unprecedented, so who knows.
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Just got back from western Montana and I can confirm that 49° mornings are well worth the wait. Bring it on!
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Tornado warning! Statesville area and north Lake Norman. Winds are brutal across a wide area of Lake Norman. Be safe out there!
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Some very high winds coming into Lake Norman area along with severe lightning. Big storm there....
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Never like being the center of attention when it comes to tornado watches and clown maps...unless they are snow maps!
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First storm of the afternoon up at the farm in Stuart. Looks like a line may develop cells from Lynchburg back to Wilkesboro soon.
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Man I dont want to see large hail. Some of the videos from AR, MS, TX, CO have me spooked! And I hate to see my hard work on the crops this year go to waste. Sun is already bright here in the Triad.
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We are very quickly only going to have 60 days left of avg hi temps above 85° here in the Triad. This is getting close to the summer that never was, but I dont want to jinx us quite yet. So far, I'll take this over torch/humidity any day.
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When I fly back from Orlando that day they better have the dang highway plowed. Honestly this is about the only type of event that would stand a chance of coming to fruition right now so you might as well embrace it while it lasts, which will probably be about 4 more hours. That drive from Wake to Alamance county though.
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Ground is fully covered in Stuart at the farm. Snowing here in Cincinnati this morning too which means I get snow all the way home today!
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Great, and I will be driving back down I77 from Cincy on the 12th. I mean we're nice people here and we love Mother Nature. Is it too much to ask for rain during warmer months, snow during colder months, and 72° and sunny every Friday, Saturday and Sunday??
