kvegas-wx
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Everything posted by kvegas-wx
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Good for the mountain communities today, that's gonna be a heckuva lot more than an inch or two for Boone at those rates. A hot streak in December for the ski resorts! Educational question - what model(s) are incorporated into the Bufkit product? Just one run or multiple runs? Curious how frequently those get updated and if we get a drastic shift in the models in the next day or two, if the shift will be as equally drastic in the Bufkit product or if it will be averaged out over time?
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So even with some positive Euro totals overnight, it started to waffle around with phasing and bringing the whole system north. Now I see my forecast for the triad has gone to three straight days of freezing rain in the Triad. 3 days!! I really hope that we arent on a razers edge with strong CAD, a crappy storm track and a month of power outages. But I am afraid somebody, more likely south of me, should be investing in a generator. On a brighter note, FV3 says calm down Euro.
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Dude you have no chance. Clearly it is time for a snow chase. Pack it up!
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Lanie Pope goes with a 10-30% chance of accumulating snow over the WXII coverage area. Last time I checked their coverage area includes a few tall thingies called mountains!?! She may want to update that slightly for the 11pm broadcast.
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Can you share this?
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I see today is the day that begins a new stage of grief as we are now moving from "bargaining" to "depression" once the reality begins to set in. Happens every storm without fail. Don't worry, "acceptance" of your fate is a mere 72 hours away! (accept for Mack, he's already moved on to his first January storm)
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If anyone has any ointment, you might want to start looking for flies. Climo says no, history says no. I wont bet against those two ever when something this unprecedented comes along. We dont get historic, Sierra Nevada snows in December with marginal temps, 48 hour duration and uncannily perfect timing of two systems. It just.doesnt.happen. So where's that fly?
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I equate this experience to watching Tiger Woods tee off on the 1st hole in the Masters on day 1 and having everyone (us) scream "Baba Booey!!!" as loud as we can. Meanwhile Tiger just snap hooked the ball into the trees about 200 yards down the fairway. Moral of the story.....no amount of screaming and enthusiastic support could have made that ball go straight.
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A 1040 HP parked over Buffalo next to a frozen Lake Erie? But I'll take what I can get.
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Making a note of these comments. Could be quite relevant in the next 48 hours or so once we get a better sense of the strength of the HP. I do hope you are wrong, but the little guy on my shoulder is whispering you are probably right.
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It's 5 1/2 days away and nothing will change. It's locked in. You heard it here first! Seriously though, I bought two shovels today. The last snow shovel at Lowe's. I'll be returning it tomorrow and buying a plow if anyone wants my shovel.
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We had a slider across NGA last year and I think we had sunny weather that day here in GSO, so it isnt unprecendented. I just think its unlikely to see such a strong HP this early in the season to net that kind of supression. I'll keep my money on climo and go with a solid NC and upstate event for now. Significant snow in Dec into NGA is beyond rare.
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Lol, only place outside of DC where "truth" has a shorter shelf life is this weather board and my kid's snapchat. We get 6 hour doses of reality.
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With the ample HP to the north, CAD should be locked into place NW of 85. This is gonna be a snow or no event with a crazy sharp cutoff somewhere between Burlington and Durham. We've seen this movie before!
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Thats a beaut Clark! Classic everything!
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None of this matters until I see a model showing me 65° and sunny for the two days before the storm. Cant have a great NC snowstorm without the warm and sunny prelude.
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I found the 40's in Minnesota. I'm gonna enjoy this for a couple days and I will hitch a cold front to the plane and drag it on down for the SE peeps. This is AWESOME!
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Like I thought. October hangs on with more of the same, just 80's instead of 90's, and then November will fall off a cliff. We'll get about 2 weeks of fall this year and most of this board will go postal and start smashing their weather stations. Please post any coupon codes you find for replacements. Indian summer is one thing, but this month is a whole new ballgame. We're making history in many ways.
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And the Chiggers, and the ticks, and now the stink bugs are looking to get back inside. HORRIBLE year for bugs!!
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Who cares about temps being in the 60's and 70's when it is only because of heavy fog and rainy conditions. This has to be overall the most crappy year of weather I can remember. And at this point, if I dont get my extended fall, I sure as heck dont want to dive straight into a cold and snowy winter. Groundhog day forecast for much of this week and weekend. Bring on October.
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Not saying the pic above isnt bad, it certainly has an impact. But in reality the houses and infrastructure still stand. The beach and dunes were basically moved 100 feet inland and covered the road. This happens with many storms and can easily be fixed. Its the water damage and flooding pics that resonate with me the most. There is simply no recovery. Roads must be reconstructed, not just repaved. Sewer and water lines, gas lines, electrical wires, homes, cars, livestock, literally everything.
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24 hours x 2 in some places. Here in the triad we had between 6-8" over roughly a 36 hour run. The Dan River up in Danville VA was near its all time high I think. There were many places, almost the entire sandhills region SE of Raleigh down to the coast, that received steady rainfall for 48 hours or more. There are rivers cresting this morning over 30' above flood stage next to towns with zero elevation. New Bern, Kinston, Jacksonville. And even littler towns like Pollocksville NC which may cease to exist after this. An unprecendented catastrophy. Flo made her mark in history.
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Good grief is Flo even moving anymore? She is still drinking off the atlantic like a 7-11 big gulp. The radar is loaded for another 6-8 hours. If feel for those folks down east, but now I'm starting to worry about the folks around CLT and across the southern piedmont. The flooding is going to get scary bad real quick tomorrow with another 6-12" to go. There is just no way to prepare for this type of destruction across an entire state.
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Yeah, but just like we had no spring, I definitely dont wanna give up my fall. Best time of the year! If we go from 80's to 50's me and mother nature are gonna have a chat. (She'll win of course)
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Curious if the banding coming thru Durham and just south of 85 is just heavy rain or is it packing TS force winds too? Looks strong!
