kvegas-wx
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Everything posted by kvegas-wx
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Dude you have no chance. Clearly it is time for a snow chase. Pack it up!
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Lanie Pope goes with a 10-30% chance of accumulating snow over the WXII coverage area. Last time I checked their coverage area includes a few tall thingies called mountains!?! She may want to update that slightly for the 11pm broadcast.
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Can you share this?
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I see today is the day that begins a new stage of grief as we are now moving from "bargaining" to "depression" once the reality begins to set in. Happens every storm without fail. Don't worry, "acceptance" of your fate is a mere 72 hours away! (accept for Mack, he's already moved on to his first January storm)
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If anyone has any ointment, you might want to start looking for flies. Climo says no, history says no. I wont bet against those two ever when something this unprecedented comes along. We dont get historic, Sierra Nevada snows in December with marginal temps, 48 hour duration and uncannily perfect timing of two systems. It just.doesnt.happen. So where's that fly?
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I equate this experience to watching Tiger Woods tee off on the 1st hole in the Masters on day 1 and having everyone (us) scream "Baba Booey!!!" as loud as we can. Meanwhile Tiger just snap hooked the ball into the trees about 200 yards down the fairway. Moral of the story.....no amount of screaming and enthusiastic support could have made that ball go straight.
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A 1040 HP parked over Buffalo next to a frozen Lake Erie? But I'll take what I can get.
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Making a note of these comments. Could be quite relevant in the next 48 hours or so once we get a better sense of the strength of the HP. I do hope you are wrong, but the little guy on my shoulder is whispering you are probably right.
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It's 5 1/2 days away and nothing will change. It's locked in. You heard it here first! Seriously though, I bought two shovels today. The last snow shovel at Lowe's. I'll be returning it tomorrow and buying a plow if anyone wants my shovel.
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We had a slider across NGA last year and I think we had sunny weather that day here in GSO, so it isnt unprecendented. I just think its unlikely to see such a strong HP this early in the season to net that kind of supression. I'll keep my money on climo and go with a solid NC and upstate event for now. Significant snow in Dec into NGA is beyond rare.
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Lol, only place outside of DC where "truth" has a shorter shelf life is this weather board and my kid's snapchat. We get 6 hour doses of reality.
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With the ample HP to the north, CAD should be locked into place NW of 85. This is gonna be a snow or no event with a crazy sharp cutoff somewhere between Burlington and Durham. We've seen this movie before!
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Thats a beaut Clark! Classic everything!
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None of this matters until I see a model showing me 65° and sunny for the two days before the storm. Cant have a great NC snowstorm without the warm and sunny prelude.
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Man I have a hard time believing that. I bet we had sustained 45mph winds here in Kernersville for nearly 20 minutes. There definitely had to be a few gusts over 55mph but I guess that is whats recorded at KINT and/or KGSO. Collectively all of these recordings just seem low to me given the damage.
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How much rain did Danville get? And down towards Stoneville? Hearing there was a lot of farm damage up there. Tornado-ish?
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Folks I was not a believer in the call for widespread heavy wind advisories. Quite honestly, we've been through many tropical events that just pass us by in the triad and rarely if ever see more than a gusty day. Outside of Hugo, there was nothing that set a precedent for this and in the end, I still think the discretionary alerts were the way to go. I saw a post from Mack earlier that said his winds were unimpressive. So the call was right for his area. We were surprised here in the triad for about 45 minutes, but it was over a swath of maybe 20-30 miles at most. How do you forecast that?? I'm sure I'll stir up a hornets nest, not my intention, but I cant bash the mets here. It was an impossible call.
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Just got back from saving my neighborhood from downed trees. What a huge mess! Power out everywhere. Michael has given about everyone a little graze across the groin on his way out. No idea what my rain totals are now but given the state of a few local creeks, its a lot. Never seen them that deep in 17 years of living here. Bring on fall please! A very dry one!
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Power just went out to a significant chunk of customers between Kernersville and Walkertown. Roads blocked with downed trees. The last 20 minutes or so changed the game on this event.
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Hammer time in Kernersville. Just watched 2 trees drop across from my house. Brutal winds. Not straight line....violent!
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50 and below DPs piling up against the western apps now. It wont be long before fall is here! Tomorrow afternoon and this weekend will pop the top off this pressure cooker of a summer. Until then, 3-5" more rain. It is POURING!!
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Rainfall is quickly becoming a problem over the triad. Michael's track is making the pivot point almost dead center around the triad. We've had heavy rain all morning and now it looks like we get the backside as well. I'd say another 6 hours of heavy downpours (at least). Creeks are full, yards are flooded. Any light winds could do some damage now.
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Looking at the radar, they never made it to the eye. They got stuck in the wall for the duration. I pray that house holds up. The car is just slamming into the side of it.
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Hope on top of hope that they are ok. They will definitely need a quick rescue after this. Really bad move to head back to Mexico Beach. Their car is done!
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Is their car still broadcasting and FLOATING??? Where are they? EDIT - HOLY CRAP! It is floating!!
