kvegas-wx
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Everything posted by kvegas-wx
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2019/2020 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread.
kvegas-wx replied to Tyler Penland's topic in Southeastern States
Majority of the precip setting up west of the 85 corridor until later today. Feel sorry for our mountain and foothill peeps this morning. Its gonna get ugly quick. -
I'm really hoping we dont end up with a late spring pattern shift that results in a stormy / severe pattern. Its been a while since we had widespread spring severe outbreaks and I cant deal with this rain every other day. I'm really hoping for a pattern flip, but be careful what you wish for.
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Wrapping up quick now. I'm officially on the board at the farm in Stuart with a trace but cant say I measured anything more than a visual trace here in Kernersville. Who knows....maybe Fab Feb has something up its sleeve.
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Huge flakes in Kernersville. I owe somebody an apology I'm sure.
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Ground already white in Stuart Va.
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Well I stand corrected. There are indeed a few pellets mixed in here in the triad around downtown winston. Doesnt really count, but they are there. Edit! And now flakes!! Second edit - now 50/50 on I 40 east of winston!
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Negative. Warmed up. Shifted to elevation dependent event. But I agree with your assessment. This would have been fun at 3am. I do see flakage beginning on my security cams at the farm in Stuart. 1500' elevation. I'll have to enjoy that cuz its all I'm going to see today.
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Trying to bait us all back in with a mythical Valentine's Day storm huh? Not having it!! I'll enjoy my 44° and mostly cloudy.....which is a helluva lot more likely to verify this winter.
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Still in the 50's thru 240 and no obvious pattern change in sight. I'm talking polar vortex lobe breaking off and crashing into florida and killing the orange crops kinda pattern change. Thats pretty much what its gonna take right now. So I'll leave this here and spend the rest of winter in the sanitarium. Stick a fork in this winter cuz its well past done. Time to spread the pre-emergent.
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The most truth ever spoken here. I predict a cold and rainy spring transitioning to a very nice May followed by 2 months of dry, followed by an August and September where it rains every weekend.
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Moderated but delayed winter coming, bank on it. Meaning we'll have 40's and 50's out to the end of April. The only unknown is whether or not we can still squeak out a Fab Feb special in the second half of the month. It only takes one storm to make a winter. But that D10+ pattern shift is elusive for sure. Until that is HERE, and not 72, 240 or 300 hours out, we dont stand a chance at winter weather. Enjoy your sun today!
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Yes, the forecast on todays (non) event has been atrocious. Majorly missed the mark at 72, 48 and 24 hours. Honestly I am starting to be more irritated with the inability of our forecast models to predict a crappy winter month, week , day, hour than I am the actual weather. This has been a horrible streak of inaccuracy the last 2-3 winters.
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It's a damn fine day down here in Jax FL. I appreciate you fine FL peeps bringing out the sun and almost 80°. Now back to my NC mudfest.
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Foothills up in Stuart VA. Got the lawn ready to lime like crazy, kill the moss by March and overseed into April. Mother Nature is doing a fine job right now. None of us will suffer from the winter blues and we may still bank a couple of storms in Fab Feb.
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I'll take the under for $500 please. 70° patterns in January dont give up that easily. I'll ride the mild air until I see the Pac ridge lock in for more than a day or two.
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I've been telling you folks to enjoy the heck out of what you have today cuz the rest of winter could easily be cool and wet. I mowed today, cleaned some trash in the woods, swept out the barn, went on a trail ride, and on and on. What an outstanding day!!
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Should have some OBS coming in over the next 45 minutes. Post em if ya got em. Watching my security cams up in Stuart and waiting for that line back around Mt Airy to blow thru. 70mph gusts with that one. Get those chainsaws ready.
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384 ALWAYS hints...... I'm just totally done with this wet pattern. Bring me warm and dry at this point.
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Somebody from CLT south is getting ready to have a bad night. Worried about these high winds across the triad too as wet as the ground is. Power outages ahead me thinks.
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For posterity sake, it is 61° outside on Jan 11th at 7:45 in the morning. I've had July and August mornings start off the same way. This pattern is simply amazing.
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I want to report the follow observation. My grass is getting greener and the seed is starting to come up. That is all.
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We used to say BOOM alot back in the good old days when Burger was here calling the PBP on the Euro. You know, back when BOOM actually meant something. Now....well now we just say NEXT!
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100 mile NW shift and we're all out of it except climo favored areas. Next!!
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2019/2020 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread.
kvegas-wx replied to Tyler Penland's topic in Southeastern States
Radar says it should be snowing here in Stuart but the ground truth is a 33° cold rain. Bummer. 8:45 edit - I have a few slush flakes mixing in. Probably about as good as this one is gonna get here at the lower elevations in Patrick County Va. -
I will say, kinda feels and smells like snow outside for the first time. May head up to the farm in Stuart tomorrow to see a half inch of slush. But it may be all we can muster until Fab Feb.
