kvegas-wx

I mean it would certainly be a win to see that low a little deeper, maybe Cat 4-5 ish, to make up for that crappy (actually awesome, wink wink) December we just had. I'll take my 23" of powder for my birthday as it stands now, but 40" is better!

No kidding. I had already downgraded my expectations in Stuart from "up to 1 inch" to just some light snow, but the radar has just fizzled completely. I expect my WWA will also go "poof" here shortly.

WWA out for Patrick Cty tonight for up to 4" but as always, this county is impossible to forecast. Nearly nothing will fall here south of Stuart tonight and the elevated part of the county NW of Primland and Meadows of Dan will probably see 2-4". I'm sure there are several counties up and down the apps like this, Wilkes also comes to mind, where it is nearly impossible to issue a blanket forecast due to terrain variability. Anyway, still rocking a balmy 50 degrees here in the foothills. Not feeling this one at all.

Still dumping snow in Stuart VA. Very unexpected win with the accums. Approaching a half inch in grassy areas.

Hammering here is Stuart VA. 20 mins in and everything is covered. Simply amazing. Aside from having the sun move a few million miles closer to earth, I will never question ground temps vs rates again, ever.

15 minutes in Stuart, everything is covered. Way, way, way overperformed anything I thought I would see today. Impressive!

POURING SNOW in Stuart. Much to my major surprise, the ground caved almost instantly. I will have accums in 15 minutes at this rate!

Snowing now in Stuart, VA. Big fat flakes!!

VA. About 8 miles across the state line north of Winston. 1500' elevation.

Down to 33° at 7am here in Stuart. Changeover should be this hour. Would love to see a snow squall but not expecting any accums. Everything is absolutely drenched!

Relocated to the farm in Patrick Cty about 5 miles across the border. 1500' elevation. Its all I got. Models implying 2-4 across the county so the cams will be rolling. 55° and dead calm, patchy heavy fog too. Just like my Bengals today, lets get this win baby!!

Snow breaking out deep into MS and eastern AR. Verification looking pretty good.....so far.

Looking at the 6-7" wedge from Patrick County down into Stokes thinking that this is the early season event that will crush our enthusiasm and remind us all how poorly the weather models have performed over the last couple of years with these marginal events. I'll be driving up to the farm in Stuart tonight and back home to Kvegas tomorrow at lunch. I will be living proof of model verification within 20 hours.

Now approaching 80° in the Triad on January 1st. Oh how this rubber band is going to snap back. At this rate March could be the new dead of winter around here!

I hope the ski resort owners also own a few golf courses. What a stunning pattern!

This is impressive for sure. Not a day or two in the heat, but the consistency and durability of the warmth almost nationwide. We've had warm Dec days here and there. But this is a full on trend. It does make you wonder....where on earth are they having consistently below avg temps and how deep in the cold are we gonna be when the rubberband finally snaps back. Fab Feb could be really interesting this year.

C'mon now, we all know winter doesnt arrive in the SE forum until Feb 29th. It will be here in due time.

Three years ago today I was knee deep in snow drifts in the Triad.

For those that subscribe to the Joe Bastardi "snapback" theories (assuming they originated with him) this could have all the makings of one heckuva Jan/Feb. We are tremendously short on precip and cold air. If we cut the deficit on both at the same time, well, you know...... Patterns change, and the GFS ain't spittin the truth, I'm just sayin'....

I think the last time I even thought about weather was during Hurricane Ida. Have we actually had any weather since then? Is weather event related or does it actually happen all the time? Is 60° and sunny with a slight breeze actually considered weather? Do weather persons actually get paid to report on these conditions? Isn't this really the equivilent of a tree falling in the woods and us questioning if there was a noise? So many questions.....

Now THATS a weenie forecast!

I'll be sitting on my rented deck, beside my rented fire next weekend flying my drone all over the place from 4,300ft on up. I would be ecstatic to have some snowflakes mixing in with any remaining color. Man I hope I timed this long weekend correctly!

Awesome!!! We have an Air B&B booked for 4 days next weekend up there and I'm drooling over those snowflakes on my 10 day forecast. This is getting good!

If accurate, this is not flash flooding. There is water intrusion from an unknown source. I dont want this to be a Katrina scenario. But damn if it isnt eerily similar.

Purely looking at the traffic maps the evacuation looks pretty anemic. Usual backups on I-10 but thats about it. I really hope these folks know what they signed up for.