Cuban weather radar indicates the eyewall of Idalia has closed off. Some RI is expected now. Storm is moving at a healthy 14 mph which is nearly 2x as fast as day prior. This is good as it limits the amount of uncertainty in the cone.
Even if the models prove accurate, Idalia’s strongest winds by far are in the SE quadrant presently. I can’t imagine a scenario where Tampa Bay region avoids seriously damaging surge as it moves toward the big bend or even Tallahassee
There’s lots of chatter now that latest models have shifted LF guidance about 30 miles West. But didn’t these runs initialize with a 20 to 30 mile westerly offset ?
I’m aware of the Tampa bubble which has evaded hurricane landfalls in the region for many decades. I was not aware until tonight that the last major hurricane to hit the Big Bend was back in 1896! If Idalia slams into the region as a Cat 3 or 4 it will be the first time most of the current structures in that area get tested by a proper storm
Exactly. People listening to tonight’s evening news trying to decide if they should follow evac orders certainly got a mixed message from the Mets here.
Tampa TV Mets are downplaying this storm bigly. Saying this will be little more than a wind event for the area. I hope they are right in their bravado.
FL CFO reminds of the fire danger of leaving EVs at risk to storm surge. I just got back from my Clearwater beach condo and counted 7 teslas in the lower parking garage. I certainly hope they are moved by tomorrow. I almost wish they would all get towed if they haven’t been moved by 5 pm tomorrow