RevWarReenactor
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Everything posted by RevWarReenactor
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Tuesday, January 9 Rain and Wind Storm
RevWarReenactor replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
The criteria for closing schools has changed drastically over the decades. My mom told me in the 1960's school would be open with a foot of fresh snow on the ground. When I was in school in the 1990's, it took about 6 inches to close school. Today a squirrel farts wrong and schools close. As to the reason why, my guess is heightened liability issues. Its just easier to make it up at the end of the year than opening yourself up to lawsuits. -
The good old 168hrmodel runs that suck everyone in. Just be aware GFS has been constantly showing a blizzard for CHicago Friday/Saturday. This morning it turned their blizzard into a snow shower. Lets see how long the models advertise next weeks storm before the rug pull.
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Pretty crazy considering we've had some really good years since 2010. Just shows how bad its been since 2016.
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Last year I remember you said that things that should have given us snow in the past; just aren't anymore. Really stuck with me. We always walked a fine line here in the MA between snow and nothing. Maybe we've finally turned the corner and now are on the wrong side of that line.
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I am surprised you all aren't use to this by now. Its been almost a decade at this point since we've had a real area wide threat. Blizzard of 2016 was it. I've been aware of PSU posting here for at least a good 5-6 years. I have literally yet to see him make a post that says "everything is on track for a good storm". Its been years of "something ain't quite right with this pattern".
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Does anyone remember when it was Xmas and the LR thread was saying "get ready for early January pattern change and snow chances are coming Jan 3rd"!! Now its early January, rainy, warm, and "Get ready pattern change coming Mid January everyone!" LMAO!
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What hype? Most gave up on this threat early this week. At least for I-95. Even inland was iffy. The rest is just people being bored. 33 degrees and flurries here. No accu. More than I was expecting.
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Haven't had a plowable snowstorm here since 2016. 8 years. It truly is unreal.
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This is really pathetic. Its getting embarrassing at this point.
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Crazy to think Philly hasn't had an inch of snow since Jan 22, 2022. Coming up on 2 years now. Its brutal. I am not sure how people in the metros handle it. I'd be going crazy if I hadn't chased to NY state the last few years. Looks like Ill be doing more of the same this year.
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You know what really grinds my gears? Any and all references to "NE MD" or "Mason Dixon Line" being snow max areas. Time for a geography and climo lesson. This area in Yellow is NE MD near MD line and its gets as much snow as DC/Baltimore; maybe less. Can we instead please use the term "north and west of the cities" to describe snow max areas? This is what New Jersey does in reference to being north and west of NYC and it works great! THANK YOU!
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PS: The Euro is clearly smoking the funny weed. No way coastal NJ gets a foot + all the way to the beaches. Discard.
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Those who have been pulled back in are fools. Looking at those fake accumulation maps, all that stuff on the edges is snow that doesn't stick. When will you all learn.
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ANother one shits the bed for I-95. Saw it coming from a mile away. ANyone who thinks this shifts back east is delusional.
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Would be extremely careful using those accumulation maps with marginal temps. Not even talking Kuchara, just regular accumulation maps. We've seen time and time again in the last couple of years where accumulation maps show 6-12 inches, even NWS goes with the maps, and we end up with white rain or at best a dusting on the grass. Snowquester was the most extreme example where the NAM said a foot and we got nothing.
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The GFS seems to be having some trouble knowing what is going on, it develops multiple lows.
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This storm ended up being kind of boring. On the plus side of things, many fake youtuber mets got a lot of clicks on their videos!
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Category Five Hurricane Lee
RevWarReenactor replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
I don't know; latest models have the center clearing eastern MA by about 500 miles. Sure-it can expand, but a Hurricane 500 miles away isn't going to deliver much in terms of winds and rain usually. Hurricane Isabel being the exception to the rule. -
Category Five Hurricane Lee
RevWarReenactor replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Looks like the NWS isn't buying the hook west yet, either that or they are downplaying it for now until things get closer. -
Category Five Hurricane Lee
RevWarReenactor replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Doesn't everything have to be perfect to maintain those types of intinsities? Also have seen where they hit Cat 5, a minor thing goes wrong, and the storm is never the same. I remember FLoyd in 1999 was a Cat 4, ingested a bit of dry air and that was the end of its Major Hurricane days. -
Category Five Hurricane Lee
RevWarReenactor replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
LR reminds me a bit of Hurricane Edouard in 1996. I was on the Jersey shore for that one and we still got winds and severe beach erosion despite it being pretty far out. Doesn't have to hit to have a impact. -
Albany has actually be hosed this year (relative to average). Bare ground up there most of the time, I had to chase further north. Last two storms were mostly rain. They are due.
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I am not sure why people post this stuff. In my experience, you take what it shows and cut it in half, you take that number and you cut it in half, and MAYBE you get that. MAYBE. Like psu said, its just too warm.
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Awesome! Hope it works out for you!
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Sometimes its difficult to make it happen. I got kind of lucky with these two storms. But this one was everything I thought it would be and more. Record breaking snowless winter here in Delaware but I can say I had my fill of snow this year. It was 24 hours + of snow up there. Still snowing when I left. I was sad I had to leave.
