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RevWarReenactor

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Everything posted by RevWarReenactor

  1. RevWarReenactor
    Ouch. Believe me I take no joy in being right. But climo is climo.
  2. RevWarReenactor
    Back on Feb 1st I said there would be no epic pattern change and that we'd be sitting here on Feb 15th with the same old same. I was right, the entire model thread full of experts and mets was wrong. That is really all you need to know honestly.
  3. RevWarReenactor
    LR modeling has be atrocious at best. Far better accuracy just looking at climo and making a forecast off that.
  4. RevWarReenactor
    Everyone should savor Friday nights possible 1-3 inches. Enjoy it in good health and in good times. Because that is probably it for the year. Another below average year. But hey, at least we might crack 10 inches? 30+ inches and epic patterns LMAO!
  5. RevWarReenactor
    Is track THAT important? Seems like widespread coverage. Its not like the storm yesterday that turn SE NYs 12-18 inches into 1-2 inches. Such a small margin for error.
  6. RevWarReenactor
    Glad I chased today’s storm. I’d literally be bonkers right now if I hadn’t. I don’t know how you all do it. Even having to leave up here in NW New Jersey and going back to Delaware is triggering me. Especially after glancing at the model runs. We just don’t do winter anymore.
  7. RevWarReenactor
    So going from 12-18 inches to 1-2 inches in south Ny ain’t no big deal lmao!
  8. RevWarReenactor
    You are in the razor edge of good stuff . Places like Kingston and new paltz have virtually nothing.
  9. RevWarReenactor
    I see that’s fair I guess. But north of I-84 is historic bust territory. So bad it should be talked about for years type bust.
  10. RevWarReenactor
    Not understanding these posts. Yesterday southern Ny was supposed to get 12-18 inches in spots. Those areas are now getting 1-2 and even that might be high.
  11. RevWarReenactor
    Yeah ended up in Mahwah. This is a great spot for it but still pretty underwhelming. We have a few inches. Maybe it gets better? Sure is a narrow area that is cold enough enough to stick but not so far north it’s just flurries. They really messed this one up. Lol
  12. RevWarReenactor
    People need to stop looking at these clown maps in marginal temps. Take the number it shows and divide it by 2 and then take that number and divide it by 2. No way coastal Nj is getting anywhere near those numbers. Lots of no stick and white rain.
  13. RevWarReenactor
    Already doing so. Mahwah now. Will not book hotel till this is decided
  14. RevWarReenactor
    Well not so sure now maybe things are starting to turn in your favor just goes to show you how unpredictable the weather can be
  15. RevWarReenactor
    Setup shop in New Paltz Ny for the storm. Exciting! I don’t know why more people don’t chase. I was here in a few hours. It’s like nothing compared to the amount of time people spent chasing fictional pattern changes 2 weeks out. Looking like 8-12. But anything over 6 inches will be a win.
  16. RevWarReenactor
    Shooting for Plattsburg NY. Will be very flexible. Sleeping in the car, even down into the teens at night, no longer bothers me.
  17. RevWarReenactor
    Tbf I wouldn’t want to be in nyc looking at this map. I’d honestly rather be in Dc. im currently chasing this storm and I won’t be anywhere near nyc.
  18. RevWarReenactor
    I don't know, looking at that accumulation map, its going to take a lot more than a few slight shift to bring us into anything meaningful. 1.9 for Trenton. That awesome total is 80 miles north of here, and I am a good 100 miles northeast of DC. Thats a long way to go.
  19. RevWarReenactor
    I just don't see a better track helping that much? No cold air. Too far south.
  20. RevWarReenactor
    Funny thing is this is actually the thread to be in for the most accurate forecasts on future cold and snow. Far more accurate than the model thread. Place is right like 95% of the time.
  21. RevWarReenactor
    @Steve25 Its not looking too good for you. You have 6 days left. Doesn't look like the Monday-Tuesday event is going to get it done far ya, and the following weekend storm is iffy at best. Hopefully you can pull a rabbit out of a hat soon eh? As for me, I am chasing my snow early next week. I am thinking the poconos is a good spot.
  22. RevWarReenactor
    Certainly a notable shift south.
  23. RevWarReenactor
    Its called latest model privilege. Pretty new colors. But much caution needed. GFS has been so bad this year. Euro is still saying congrats NE. What will 12z say? Stay tuned.
  24. RevWarReenactor
    @stormtracker There is no panic here. I am just a weary traveler/model reader looking to find a place to plant my flag for the upcoming Vstorm. I am going to get snow from this storm whether I am in Montreal Canada or in Richmond Virginia. It does not matter to me. Its excitement either way. Joy!
  25. RevWarReenactor
    Damn these models are struggling. Last night I think I am taking a 300 mile drive north for this one, this morning, I might be staying home. Who the heck knows anymore.
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