RevWarReenactor

So after a dusting here or there and one more reinforcing shot of cold air is the general consensus that it’s se ridge time? When I open a February thread to see a discussion on march snow that’s what I’m assuming is the vibe

6z gfs advertises the fear; cold dry followed by warm and rain in the extended,

It was so obvious the gfs was going to turn that little swath of precip mid week into nothing. Next run it will probably be gone entirely.

We do care about the pack. We want snow on snow. That’s part of the rush around here. That and usually this type of cold has an expiration date and then it’s back to cutters and rainstorms. The clock is ticking.

What’s crazy is it actually seems easier to get snow 500 miles south of us. Just get tons of cold in and it delivers down there. We are either too warm or too cold.

Marginal temps. North trends. What could go wrong?

GFS is waaaaay east. Thing practically makes a B line for bermuda once it forms. LOL

This is a good winter. Most of us are already at average yearly snowfall or above. We are just wasting the chance of it to be a historic winter. But its a Nina, so.....

A 40% chance of 4 inches of snow in DC? What model are they looking at? The DT one?

Can't stand him. I've met him in person. WEnt to a baseball game with him. Went to breakfast with him. Im sure Randy could write a book on him but leaves the past in the past. Anyway, everyone here at work still thinks we are getting this storm. The facebook hype machine is real. Just talked to my boss "OMG and another storm this weekend!" I just nodded my head. Eh.......

Whats making this thing suddenly go west? If we can get more of that, we might bring this one back. Its only got to move like 200 miles. Its only Wednesday. That might be doable?

LOL, it does look great. We should honestly be glad this storm isn't happening for mostly anyone, if it was, someone was going to smoke cirrus while 30 miles away was getting 6-12 inches.

Outside of that Euro fantasy run; nothing showed a huge hit for I-95 cities. Even the garbage GFS didn't get the amounts over 6 inches and it was on an island by itself. People looked at the last storm and assumed it would trend north because thats what they do. But there was never any scientific rational for that at all. In fact we had a storm earlier in December I think that started heading north in the mid range only to again go south. If the best you got is "it will trend north" based on no evidence. You got nothing.

PS: They really need to retire the GFS or fix it. I get that this was a complex setup. But it showed a 40-50 inch storm for south MD/DE 24 hours ago and now its a big fat zero.

Great! I'd honestly rather it be a full miss than a blizzard raging 50 miles away. Its a MUCH easier pill to swallow.

The MA really is the snow anus of the east coast though. It does actually seem like areas to our east, west, north, and south do better.

Well if we can't have record snowfall, might as well at least have a record heating bill. It just would have been fun to see all the Karen's complaining about the plowing situation and entitlement of getting out of their driveways the second it stopped snowing, to get hit again this weekend with another storm. But alas, climo won.

You know its over when the Euro is running and all thats in here are a few banter posts. Hopefully we get something else before this pattern breaks down.

Yep, I bet Atlantic City, Coastal NJ, NYC, LI, etc actually do really well with this in the end while we watch. Seen this story before. Precip will head in from off the coast and will hit a wall somewhere just east of Philly.

My thoughts exactly, way better to chase storms up north, they get a foot overnight and you are out of there in the morning. God knows how many days you'd be stuck with a foot in Virginia. Ill pass.

Is this like a hurricane, where its just getting scooped up OTS by a trough or a kicker? If thats the case, I don't think we stand a chance of this coming back. If it was the case where we just needed a high to be less strong up north, we'd have a chance of a north trend. Tough break, its so close, but so far. But this is exactly what happens during Hurricane season with fish storms.

In terms of precip its probably the best run we've seen. It actually puts some snow into the cities. In some cases more than the GFS does.

Seeing that snowhole from DC to NYC while VA and NC get a blizzard is heartbreaking though. Thats how we roll here.

GFS folded. Shocker. I think its time to put this one to bed for areas along I-95. Sorry.

I definitely remember this too. I think it was 2009/2010. GFS is kind of doing that now.