RevWarReenactor

I actually wish this snowpack would melt at this point. Its dirty and disgusting looking. Basically a block of ice.

Literally saw abut 10 flakes under a heavy band. Now its over. They let Harford County schools go 3 hours early for this LOL

I have absolutely no sense of superiority. Its you all who have that. For like decades now.

LMAO! Nowhere did I say I know more than people with MET degrees. I said that SOME (not all) people here, with or without Met degrees think they are such hot **** and look down on the so called "weenies". Im simply bringing those people back down to earth. Once again, there is no reason for the arrogance. How is it that you can't understand this very basic concept?

You all are hilarious. But you just proved my point. The mocking, the gaslighting, the bullying, the gang up, you all think you are BETTER THAN ME. Or more broadly, better than "the weenies". This is most evident at needing a very clean model thread and going ape shit over someone daring to be upset for the entire purpose of the thread itself (lack of snow). This is arrogance for a hobby that has no right to have arrogant people in it. You all aren't doctors discussing brain surgery. At the end of the day, what I said in my PM to CAPE is absolutely true. The end.

I stand by what I said- I think people here absolutely look down on those whom they consider to have less meteorology knowledge than them. They belittle and bully. All I was doing was bringing some of you back down to earth. I do this as a boss in my job too. It’s crucial to keep people even keeled. as far as me being unstable I dunno last few posts tend to indicate you all are probably more unstable except psu. I was just saying a simple fact.

But I think people do forget our climo. They do forget how these things usually end up for us. There is way too much "Oh well it shows a threat at least, so its good" and getting emotionally invested in a possible outcome that is very unlikely to happen. Its much better to simply look at climo and make a forecast than it is to look at models 200+ hours out and analysis them. Yet we focus way too much on the former, and then get disappointed when climo eventually shows up on the models.

ANd Im not the least but afraid of Randy. But hilarious you think I am. "Randy might like to see it" Yeah I'd say all that right to his face in person. He is of course free to hit his trusty ban button as per usual.

I mean; its the truth. The arrogance here is pathetic for a junk science hobby. If my post was banter, I'd get it. But it was great analysis. 6z GFS showed rainers, good bet its right based on climo. Its just the truth. But I get attacked by a lot of arrogant people who think they are super duper smart.

@ravensrule you call my posts "shit" but you will eat your words when you spend 10 days with a bunch of nonsense analysis tracking a cutter rainstorm. Whereas my simple climo analysis will verify. We will revist this next week

Why can't I be pro reality and pro climo and still participate in a discussion on our snow chances? Im confused.

I woke up at 4am today, and my analysis is actually spot on.

The 6z GFS shows one rainer after the next. Lets be honest with each other- its probably right. The details might not be right- but we need to remember our climo. We don't do marginal situations well. Heck we can't even seem to manage snowing when its 16 degrees outside. I-95 is probably cooked. Mountains still have a chance. I know you might weenie and tell me to go go to the panic room. But am I wrong? Don't say I didn't warn you. This is the problem when the MA, when its super cold its congrats North Carolina. When its marginal, its congrats Poconos PA. We are the snow anus.

No model has a clue that far out. Honestly at this point the GFS shouldn't run past hr 84. You all are looking in the 200's. Its essentially fiction.

Great event got nothing

HRRR looks a bit more north even Philly gets in on it.

Its weird how looking at storms that could be rain coming for us is way better than looking at temps in the teens with absolutely nothing. At least we have a shot. I don't think its a good one, but its a better one than suppression to North Carolina while my heating bill skyrockets.

I like how if you get skunked on the Wed clipper, you likely make up for it with the Friday one and vice versa. I get zero from tomorrow's clipper. But the Friday one looks better.

The 6z GFS offers some hope. Tonights clipper is more north. Friday's clipped is more juiced with some places gettsing a few hours of light snow. VD looks like two potentials; could be rain, could be congrats north carolina, but the potential is there.

Only half our region will score that dusting based on current models. Thats at best.

Thats a shame. Chances of snow on snow are now gone. I know its rare. But it seemed like we really had an opportunity with all this cold.

It’s pretty obvious we punt the next few weeks. Now we just have to hope things reset for late February or early March. If not- this winter was decent; for a Nina.

Honestly I think flurries along I-95 would probably be a boom at this point. But we probably won’t see anything.

Do you sense it? This is all we are going to get. As far as another storm goes- winter is over