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RevWarReenactor

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Everything posted by RevWarReenactor

  1. RevWarReenactor
    Why are we posting these Kuchara maps, aren't temps and daylight going to eat a lot of that t? What is 4 inches kuchara realistically in this setup for I-95? 1-2?
  2. RevWarReenactor
    The 6z GFS is a lot of fail. 6 degrees and then a rainer a few days later as it cuts. Reminds me of the Jan 2022 storm where it was Snow 2 inches, then rain and 60.
  3. RevWarReenactor
    Thanks for the explanation psu!
  4. RevWarReenactor
    Hilarious that it could be more than the storm on Monday for me which was only 2.5 inches. Somehow my parents 120 miles north of me got more snow from that one. Can't figure that out.
  5. RevWarReenactor
    Looks like the weakening will happen overnight. So just sleep thru it. Wakeup and get what you get. Maybe some mood flakes.
  6. RevWarReenactor
    Just starting here. HRRR seems to be out to lunch. Was disappointed in part 1. I am hoping we can make up for it with at least an inch or two.
  7. RevWarReenactor
    Yeah Euro was definitely onto something from the start. But its a great event in that its a cold powder that is sticking everywhere up here. Those are kind of rare here. I'll take that any day. Closing in on 2 inches.
  8. RevWarReenactor
    Newark Delaware: Started at 4:15am. Light snow. Coating so far. Im going with 4 inches all said and done here. I think the heavy stuff stays to my south. But it will snow lightly all day probably up until 10pm.
  9. RevWarReenactor
    Here in Newark Delaware about 12 miles south of DMB it started snowing at about 4:15am. We got a coating at this point. Snow is light. But it did start snowing as per when the NWS radar showed it. Even here, we are fringy. I expect at best maybe 4 inches. I just don't think we get the heavy stuff. That is really 40 miles to my south.
  10. RevWarReenactor
    It kind of isn't. I am fringed, NYC is watching. The confluence is leading to heartbreak in many areas to your north. DC lucked their way into this one. But anyway. Dusting here, hope to get some better rates. Looks like we get some but the heavy stuff stays to my south.
  11. RevWarReenactor
    Thanks Matt. 5-7 is my estimate. Would be great to get 6 inches would be our biggest storm here since the Blizzard of 2016. Good luck in your area as well.
  12. RevWarReenactor
    Very first flakes just started here in Newark Delaware.
  13. RevWarReenactor
    Ill be okay. If your accumulation is map is correct, this could actually be my biggest storm since Blizzard 2016. Only need 6 inches to make that happen. Only other over 4 inch storms since then are Jan 2022 and Jan 2024 and neither of those topped 6 inches. Crazy but true.
  14. RevWarReenactor
    Looks like the GFS has finally caved to the Euro. It was definitely singing a much different song yesterday.
  15. RevWarReenactor
    Models are still so different. From DC on the edge of being too far south on the NAM, to on the edge of being too far north on the ICON.
  16. RevWarReenactor
    That would certainly be a heartbreaker for DC and northern VA given what other guidance is showing for those areas.
  17. RevWarReenactor
    Euro creeping north, GFS creeping south. Getting closer to a consensus. Either way DC looks like they are in a perfect spot. Its the Philadelphia and Richmond areas where its a nailbiter.
  18. RevWarReenactor
    Of note, today's snow showers have trended north. Originally no further north than southern Delaware , now up into central Jersey. Not sure if that means anything for this storm? Models overdoing the block?
  19. RevWarReenactor
    Don't get the NWS call for 1-2 inches here. Can't they look at temps in the upper 30's and put two and two together and see it non accumulating?
  20. RevWarReenactor
    Lets be honest here, the Euro is not good news. Especially for areas north of DC. But even DC is not great. But its worlds apart from the GFS/ICON. Everything is still unsolved.
  21. RevWarReenactor
    Not to be a negative nancy but aren't temps going to be an issue? I don't see stickage middle of the day with temps in the mid to upper 30's.
  22. RevWarReenactor
    Its not that everything has always gone to the south. Its just that its always found a way to not snow. To the north, to the south, to the east, to the west. Warm/Wet. Cold/Dry. You name it. I am afraid this is no different. Would not shock me we come out of this pattern with nothing more than a dusting- inch at best.
  23. RevWarReenactor
    People laughed when I said every super cold pattern in the last 10 years hasn't produced anything.
  24. RevWarReenactor
    I am rooting for Jan 6th storm. Looks less comlicated. We don't do complicated. What if Jan 6th is a rainer and Jan 10th is still OTS? Followed by extreme cold and bare ground. Lots of unhappy people.
  25. RevWarReenactor
    Historic cold is not what we want. High heating bills and suppressed storms. We've had a lot of these historic cold outburst in the last 10 years. None of them have produced snow for our region.
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