Griizzcoat

When one looks at confluence of this loop -- you get a general idea of where Milton wants to head to. Look at convergence/divergence in the Tampa Area.---https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-gulf-02-96-1-25-1&checked=latlon-map&colorbar=undefined

For sure North of due E now. Yucatan is spared direct hit for sure and most likely even a "scrap".-- now moving well N of due E.

Milton should easily pass N of 22N and 90W based on this trajectory--- any idea of the core coming in contact with the mainland Yucatan is not going to happen (it appears) --- https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-02-96-1-25-1&checked=latlon-map&colorbar=undefined

Clearly been N of due of East for sometime.

Rita was 895---Once in the Gulf of Mexico, Rita passed over the extremely warm Loop Current during the midday hours of September 21, enabling continued strengthening. As a result, the hurricane's wind field significantly expanded and the storm's barometric pressure quickly fell.[4] By 18:00 UTC that day, Rita attained Category 5 hurricane intensity,[13] the highest category on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale.[14] Rita's intensification phase was accompanied by an unprecedentedly abundant outbreak of lightning within the storm's eyewall.[15] Favorable conditions allowed for additional strengthening, and at 0300 UTC on September 22, Rita reached its peak intensity with maximum sustained winds of 180 mph (285 km/h) and a minimum barometric pressure of 895 mbar (hPa; 26.43 inHg), making it the strongest tropical cyclone ever recorded in the Gulf of Mexico and up until that point the third strongest hurricane in Atlantic history.[4][16][17] At the time, it was located 310 mi (500 km) south of the Mississippi River Delta.[4]

another worst case for TBA from GFS --

Milton now looks to be moving N of due E. Barely. But for sure not S of due E anymore. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-02-96-1-25-1&checked=latlon-map&colorbar=undefined

Impressive-

Helene is nothing like Hugo as as far as 64kt wind radii at or near landfall Hugo was 140 mile 64kt wind radii at or near landfall-- and scored a whopping 19.3 on the CMEHI index (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_Mercantile_Exchange_Hurricane_Index) Looks like Helene had about 50 mile 64kt wind radii at or near landfall -- HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024 0300 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 83.9W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. Not trying to minimize the impacts and we really have not seen the results of the surge and flooding- but according to the CMEHI index- Helene will score about 11 to 11.5 with a landfall wind speed of 140 and 64 kt wind radii at 50 miles.

IR showing EYE forming -- not concentric , not yet. But clearly shows Helene is getting ready for some RI. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-13-200-1-10-1&checked=latlon-map&colorbar=undefined

Latest Euro at HR 48

Debby has not made much progress NE in the last 90 min or so. Seems to be really slowing down even "faster" than expected.

EYE getting going for sure https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-14-96-1-25-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

The cart before the horse so to say, but can a greek letter , "Delta" - in this case be retired? And if so- replaced with what? Never had this stuff in MET school. Just saying.../.