StormChazer

Canadian running, lets see what happens.

What I wouldn't give.....

The Euro definitely is our friend right now in this situation. Looks like the Euro and Canadian feel there will be some colder air in place, but also set up a potential icy situation for many. Meanwhile, the latest run of the GFS pushed the storm even further north. Here's to hoping that was an outlier and the next run begins to look more like the others.

Can you link or post that? Thanks!

12Z Canadian came in with alot more oomph.

These are a few of my personal favorites. I know its over a week out but I need something to look forward to!

Oh, sorry, 12th-14th.

There's a pretty decent number of members from the Euro showing quite a dumping of snow over the OK,AR,MO,KS, etc, area. I'd say a little over half the members show a widespread snow event, with 6+ inches.

Yeah, the GFS still shows something similar, just not as heavy or widespread, same with the NAM and WRF.

The Canadian really wants to put a patch of moderate freezing drizzle/mix over Eastern OK/Western AR. The way temps have been, and the temp it will be when that comes around, anything that falls will immediately stick and begin to accumulate.

I would hate to see all this cold air go to waste.... I'd be so happy with 3 inches that stick around for a few days. Looks like this next system I'll have to be happy with an inch, although there's a lot of time between now and Sunday.

Any thoughts on this potential storm this upcoming week? Doesn’t seem like models can get a consensus.

I was at work off 21st and Lewis in Tulsa.

I noticed the trees here are now collecting frozen droplets.

Good to know, thanks! Tulsa just updated their site as well to indicate 1-3 inches now, instead of 1-2.

I've got to think based off OKC and SGF that we will see Tulsa fill in the gap on the advisory around 5 PM today.

Thank you. These temps seem to be falling a bit faster than I think was predicted. I've heard from co-workers there's already some sleet and freezing drizzle falling in Cushing and starting in Sand Springs.

Can you link me to this? I'm having trouble finding it on their page. I'm interested to see if they are saying 1-2 because they don't want to say double that just yet, or if they don't believe this because it's based off something they don't trust with certainty.

Looks like Tulsa finally bought in. "As main vort max moves into northeast Oklahoma tonight, precipitation is expected to transition to snow by late evening into the overnight hours across northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches will be possible near the Interstate 44 corridor and in the higher terrain areas of northwest Arkansas before precip shifts east Saturday morning. Still some significant uncertainty regarding how quickly precipitation transitions to snow tonight and overall amounts. Also, depending on how quickly the heavier precipitation spreads north of the front today, there is some potential for freezing rain or freezing drizzle if temperatures can wet bulb below freezing. A winter weather advisory may be need for portions of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas as precip type/amounts become more certain." Last night they were showing 1/4th an in of snow, now it's 1-2. Confidence in how quickly the transition takes place seems low to me. That could affect amounts as well.

It's still slowly moving towards the Canadian and NAM though.

That's the thing about these types of situations, they're either a total bust, or someone winds up with waaayy more snow than forecasters called for. I'm not jealous of the meteorologist who makes that call. I'd rather promise little amounts and get more, than call for lots and get little to none.

Well the GFS is starting to pick up on something as well. It used to have zero in the way of snowfall, but now we have a small swath of around an inch. Curious to see what the next sets have to say. I don't think they can discount it if they all start converging.

So the NAM and the Canadian seem to think that upper level low is going to kick up some measurable snow. Anyone know what the latest Euro shows? I know the GFS is saying it's a no go.

I'll have what the NAM 12K is having please.....

The NAM 3k does show some light snow as well.