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NEG NAO

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  1. NEG NAO
    NY NJ PA Weather‏Verified account @nynjpaweather 3h3 hours ago More A potential winter storm is brewing for next weekend with heavy snow a threat for Saturday into Sunday morning. Details on the way! https://twitter.com/nynjpaweather?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author
  2. NEG NAO
    These models have been playing catch - up for a while the actual result for December will show the central and east as a wide chunk of real estate below to well below normal as the blocking takes hold in an almost perfect position for a few weeks at least - this cold outbreak could rival 2013 - 2010 and 1989....
  3. NEG NAO
    I fell off the potty.............
  4. NEG NAO
  5. NEG NAO
  6. NEG NAO
    Bernie is going for 6 -12 in NYC http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/expert-forecasts/snowstorm-tuesday-snow-amounts-over-2-feet/f4bzi5yte6o0cnlleinxd2ssq527igk4
  7. NEG NAO
    I think at this range its a good idea to have 12 - 24 because of all the uncertainties regarding banding and possible mixing in some areas..........
  8. NEG NAO
    The prime example regarding models and short range surprises is the January 7th storm which forecasters had to increase amounts and issue upgraded warnings during the storm - don't be surprised if that happens again at some point the remainder of the winter...........
  9. NEG NAO
    Bernie Rayno A.M. update 1/4 http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/accuweather-experts/late-week-snowstorm/2430839568001
  10. NEG NAO
    Joe Cioffi says around an inch Thursday Nights and Saturdays https://www.facebook.com/meteorologistjoecioffi/?pnref=lhc
  11. NEG NAO
    exactly - and after his "December to Remember"
  12. NEG NAO
    JB in his public daily summary says UKMET will verify phasing will occur = East Coast Blizzard This Weekend http://www.weatherbell.com/premium
  13. NEG NAO
    no 90's in site as this stubborn pattern continues with a blocked trough in the northeast preventing the heat ridge from expanding into our area http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/wv-animated.gif
  14. NEG NAO
    doesn't look like we will reach 90 - this mornings GFS once again keeps temps well below 90 for a couple weeks . First we have to break out of this pattern we are in with troughing in the northeast http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr you can really see what is going on with this loop http://www.weather.unisys.com/gfs/gfs.php?inv=0&plot=850&region=us&t=l
  15. NEG NAO
    Looks like we will not have any 90 degree days in May this year - http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr Also if we have a cooler summer we can avoid the increasing chances of electrical blackouts - we almost had a widespread one this past winter http://news.heartland.org/editorial/2014/04/24/americas-power-grid-limit-road-electrical-blackouts#.U12DVSeXduc.twitter
  16. NEG NAO
    Becoming more and more likely that we will not see our first 90 degree day in the metro until after Memorial Day which is the 26th this year. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr
  17. NEG NAO
    EWR: 14 NYC :12 LGA : 13 JFK : 11 here in the northern mid atlantic - IMO we will be well north of the heat ridge which will only poke into our area for brief periods from early June through late August - we will also have the "ring of fire" visit us form time to time being north of the high pressure ridge with some decent storms followed by cooler air and then in mid August the tropics start to get active with above normal precip here August through September.
  18. NEG NAO
    looks like the heat wave will extend through at least Saturday - 7 days of 90's this week bringing the total to 20 for the season at Newark - only will need 4 to tie 2012 by July 31 - looks like July will end up being well above normal again ...........
  19. NEG NAO
    corrected - happy now ?
  20. NEG NAO
    we should add about 6 more 90 degree days this coming week - Sun - thru Fri -which would bring the total for the year to 19 at Newark still less then last year thru July 19. The total at Newark in 2012 thru July was 24 ......
  21. NEG NAO
    add another 90 degree day to the Newark count 90 degree days at newark NJ 2010 - 54 - total year 2011 - 31- total year 2012 through 8/2 - 25
  22. NEG NAO
    looking at the 12Z GFS - there are going to be quite a few days in the first half of august the area will be flirting with 90 http://wxweb.meteost...shtml?text=KEWR
  23. NEG NAO
    looks like these numbers will be too low for the season -also so far at EWR for a 3 year period from 2010 through 7/27/2012 they have had 109- 90 degree days - that has to be a record or at least close to one
  24. NEG NAO
    90 degree days at newark NJ 2010 - 54 - total year 2011 - 31- total year 2012 through 7/27 - 24 ( just made it to 90 breifly in between hours yesterday 7/27 at Newark)
  25. NEG NAO
    the wild card is with you expecting a ridge out in the atlantic - if its in the right position will this create a path up the east coast for any tropical systems that form at a usually greater frequency starting in August ?
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