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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. 0Z Canadian track similar to GFS and EURO
  2. Euro and GFS similar track now--close to benchmark
  3. from central NJ north mainly frozen - I don't know if I buy the heavier snow in south jersey
  4. 12Z Euro - taking Benchmark track now
  5. 12Z Euro is interesting storm center is still in Southern Alabama and the HP is holding strong just north of New England - precip already this far north
  6. This is a repeat bust here so far in north central NJ IMO - just like Saturday was currently have a advisory in place but nothing is happening and temps above freezing here......
  7. 12Z Canadian SECS or Borderline MECS in south jersey - still a long way to go IMO....work in progress situation
  8. 12Z GFS - FWIW doesn't make much sense to me
  9. I agree 100% BUT won't hop on that train till after today's midday runs and see if they keep trending towards a colder more east track offshore keeping the cold enough air locked in. And also if that 50/50 block keeps the HP in place long enough.
  10. How come you didn't mention the 0Z EURO? - I would have but I hit the sack before it ran . That model is further east and has WSW level snow potential -
  11. In this situation as SnowGoose mentioned previously the Tuesday storm is acting as the 50/50 preventing the cold arctic HP from escaping north and east. Look at the CMC that HP really doesn't move much the entire event. This prevents the LP from cutting west and it ends up staying south and east of us the entire event. Actually the CMC has the best snows across central and southern NJ
  12. I think its possible as SnowGoose just mentioned the Tuesday storm is acting as a 50/50
  13. That HP North of New England is being blocked forcing redevelopment of the LP
  14. that fresh intrusion of arctic air just before the next storm perfect timing yes melting Tuesday and a skating rink Wednesday and then 4 - 6 inches as of now on top of that
  15. Euro snow map looks similar to the GFSv16
  16. its actually pushing the snow further south on 12Z compared to 6Z
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