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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    still 5 days to go - thats a long long time in the modeling world....
  2. NEG NAO
  3. NEG NAO
    where is the rain/snow line ? looks similar to GFS almost benchmark track..
  4. NEG NAO
    yes as long as it doesn't come any further west - right now its a benchmark track
  5. NEG NAO
  6. NEG NAO
  7. NEG NAO
    v
  8. NEG NAO
    if Canadian shows what it did at 12Z chances improve significantly IMO
  9. NEG NAO
    so close yet so far away
  10. NEG NAO
    The thing that bothers me the most about this weekend potential whatever is that Walt doesn't seem to be on board here in this thread in more ways than 1......
  11. NEG NAO
    because of what majority of guidance is currently advertising - so you must think we are getting a snowstorm next weekend.........
  12. NEG NAO
    agree 100%
  13. NEG NAO
    The joker in the deck is what it is
  14. NEG NAO
  15. NEG NAO
    Canadian offshore 0Z
  16. NEG NAO
    you have been saying this storm after storm since November - look at other guidance and you will see how unfavorable the pattern really is - fast flow - no phasing - suppression all combined....
  17. NEG NAO
    But I wouldn't be surprised if this is close to what verifies
  18. NEG NAO
    Why don't you provide something else to prove it........
  19. NEG NAO
    really looking better at 18Z
  20. NEG NAO
    then which ensemble would you choose that you think will verify -they are spread out all over the place - the mean ?
  21. NEG NAO
  22. NEG NAO
    hope you are correct - but favoring the GFS solution which delays whatever potential till at least Sunday
  23. NEG NAO
    its coming to its senses and starting to trend toward the GFS for Saturday but will it for Thursdays ???
  24. NEG NAO
    The only thing I am 100% confident of with this storm in NYC Metro is it will be 100% frozen and most likely 100% all snow . I also think the farther south and east you are in the metro the greater accumulations possible............and there is a chance the north - northwest suburbs get close to nothing....
  25. NEG NAO
    I am interested to see if the EURO solution verifies Thursday - might give some hints as we get closer whether it is accurate with its weekend snowstorm........and vice versa with the GFS.
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