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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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that shortwave in Minnesota on the GFS is what might be causing it to do what it did at 12Z anyone see that on any other model ?
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now areas north of I80 are worrying about not getting more then a few inches the thing to concentrate on is the high to the north ...
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there is one way the NAM could be close to correct with these amounts is if later in the afternoon close to sunset or after there is a heavier burst of snow for a few hours and temps slide closer to freezing or below
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Those snow maps for tomorrow on the NAM are overdone in the immediate NYC metro IMO - soundings and surface temps don't support the amounts listed.....
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yea Blizzard Warnings might be hoisted in part of the area..........IF models continue showing these solutions.......
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what are the wind speeds on the models?
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The storm is being blocked from moving out fast - in no hurry to leave.........
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starts early afternoon Wednesday tapers off around noon Thursday almost 24 hour event...........
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I would say its still possible - see - I am keeping all options on the table....
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Rossi - we are talking about possibilities - my point being you have to keep all options on the table - did I say its over ? whats wrong with you ??and tell me you would stay all snow with a tucked in solution and water temps in the upper 40"s
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but people out on LI and in Monmouth and Ocean / Better luck next time....
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Euro ensembles have been hinting at the northwest trend tucked in solutions - nothing wrong with it but the cutoff between a foot and basically next to nothing is really sharp.....
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you knew sooner then later there was going to be a problem...........thats why I posted earlier to be conservative with snowfall estimates
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Always start conservative especially 4 days out
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