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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    IMO the main problem with this system looking at radars is that it is just one disorganized mess right now yes there is precip in central PA but it is broken up and moving mainly northeast - as some have mentioned some of the models have not performed well with this system - how many times in the past have we been fooled by the models when a system is in progress ? Nowcasting time IMO just using radars - they will give us plenty of advanced notice of any trends developing........
  2. NEG NAO
    12Z GFSv16
  3. NEG NAO
    12Z GEM
  4. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS
  5. NEG NAO
    this is now casting time - radars are the best tools right now IMO
  6. NEG NAO
    now the big questions are -1. Will there be an organized second batch and when ? 2. Where does the snow/ice/rain line set up ? right now the radars don't show any real second organized batch coming this way anytime soon...
  7. NEG NAO
    this first batch is almost over here in NJ - what comes after this ? radar is empty
  8. NEG NAO
    Mix of Sleet and Snow 34 F now the rain- snow line cutting through Staten Island and points west and south - nobody else going to post OBS here ?
  9. NEG NAO
    Moderate to Heavy Snow Northern most Middlesex County NJ 33F
  10. NEG NAO
  11. NEG NAO
    and a few days later on 0Z GFS
  12. NEG NAO
    0Z GFS
  13. NEG NAO
    18Z GFS closer to coast BUT
  14. NEG NAO
    (397) Upcoming Potentially Major Snowstorm - YouTube
  15. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO is a miss BUT lets keep in mind 12 hours earlier it was a direct hit with mainly liquid along the coast
  16. NEG NAO
  17. NEG NAO
    12Z GFSV16 is also a complete miss to the southeast for 8/9
  18. NEG NAO
    after reviewing 12Z guidance offers no clue as to what might happen on the 8-9 the GFS is a complete miss to the east and the CMC is a grazer with snow along the coast - still waiting on the other models....
  19. NEG NAO
    If you like to follow inconsistent models look what happened to the above "event" at 0Z
  20. NEG NAO
    model has been inconsistent and has no other reliable support for a snowstorm - 12Z Euro is a complete miss to south
  21. NEG NAO
    Sleet here at 40.5754° N, 74.3224° W --- 39 F
  22. NEG NAO
    Walt - IMO and from past experience on this forum its way too early to start a thread for 1/8-9 especially after reviewing the 12Z models so far - No Consistency - and the EURO misses completely at 12Z - on to the ensembles to see what they say...........
  23. NEG NAO
    the 12Z models will start running soon - what we need for next weekend is what happened for the mid -December snowstorm - MODEL RUN CONSISTENCY ! And most models on board for a majority of NYC metro. If we get 2 or 3 days in a row of this then start the thread IMO.
  24. NEG NAO
    Snow and ice storm, December 18-20, 1995 - Storm Summary (raymondcmartinjr.com)
  25. NEG NAO
    why don't you list the highlights of next month or post graphics
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