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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    and if you have a little patience the GFS will be ok too
  2. NEG NAO
  3. NEG NAO
    This LP on 12Z GFS started out in southern Canada and went south to the gulf coast caused by all the blocking??Then departs off the south/north carolina coasts
  4. NEG NAO
    Many areas in tri-state have little snow left on the ground also....
  5. NEG NAO
    I tend to doubt it will be that strong and other favorable indices will help create a more winter like pattern for us in Feb.........
  6. NEG NAO
    you forgot to mention what it showed for early next week
  7. NEG NAO
    0Z Canadian totally different solution for next weekend VS. GFS miss to the south takes clipper and redevelops right on top of us
  8. NEG NAO
    models won't start to figure this out for a few more days so expect each run to be different for a few days at least.........
  9. NEG NAO
    first of all the primary low and redevelopment is completely different on the GFS and CMC for next weekend low confidence IMO----- - the Jan 24th storm is still in fantasyland....a thread can be created now but should be open to a wide range of possibilities IMO only...
  10. NEG NAO
    why ?
  11. NEG NAO
    The First Blizzard of 2022 around January 20th
  12. NEG NAO
  13. NEG NAO
  14. NEG NAO
    you are expecting very high ratio's ?- still expecting any sleet ?
  15. NEG NAO
    I see this as a positive development..........from a good model - hope others agree
  16. NEG NAO
    yup i should have posted 24 hour precip
  17. NEG NAO
    Anybody else notice the wide range of temps on the 10PM OBS ? RWR from KOKX (cod.edu)
  18. NEG NAO
    and entering its more accurate range time to start considering most of the mesoscale models except the clowns like the FV3 and SREF.........
  19. NEG NAO
    where is the rest ? where does the 2 LP's track ?
  20. NEG NAO
    18 Z / Any graphics ?
  21. NEG NAO
    Yea Its Miller B time !
  22. NEG NAO
    Jersey Shore and central and eastern LI have greatest chance IMO for 6 inches according to current guidance
  23. NEG NAO
    The positives with this storm is the fresh cold air moving in before the storm arrives and the track of the storm - the negative is its a fast mover...........
  24. NEG NAO
    agree - then mixing and or changeover issues come into play especially near the coast
  25. NEG NAO
    Maybe most of the area can squeeze out at least a WWA for this small and or moderate event........
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