NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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there is no reason the EURO can't verify - the cold air at all levels will not be easy to move out of place - its a fresh injection and the primary will be weakening as it throws its energy to the secondary.......
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I agree - first of all the EURO is wrong on Pivitol weather with its snow accumulations south of I-78 take a closer look at the precip types........
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it would be cool to have 2 separate storm threads going at the same time but not enough confidence to create a late weekend thread YET........plus this coming storm has more questions than answers right now and low confidence...
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are we going to make a new thread if this keeps showing up for Sunday on various models ????- it first showed on the Euro yesterday
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what evidence do you have that this will all shift south ?
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the last day we have been talking ICE for most of NYC metro NOT SNOW.....
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12Z Canadian is showing basically what the GFS has - a significant Icing event for areas mainly from central NJ and northbound....
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once again - NYC metro - sleet
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its not over for NYC south - chance this could turn into a sleet storm
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not the frozen line
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Pivitol vs. Tropical Tidbits one includes sleet the other doesn't
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Upton took the easy way out for Friday Snow and rain upper 30's
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now watch it become one2 negatives = a positive theory.....
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yes a snow storm
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it's obvious the WPC is using a blend of all the models - also I think this has a chance of redevelopment off the coast because it will only be allowed to move so far north and west coming out of the southwest of us because of the HP to the north and west - timing of the movement of that HP is critical IMO
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Maybe we should just go with this for now until it backs down and call it a day.....
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that is impossible to predict this far out what the temp will be at the surface
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I said majority - thinking 75 % liquid and 25 % frozen mainly at the start and maybe some frozen at the tail end
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My guess is for NYC south the majority will be in the form of liquid precip later next week.........that was quite a jump north in 6 hours
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kinda like yourself ????
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consensus of what ???? explain please...
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Thats why south Jersey and southeast PA are the jackpot zones
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you sure ??? February 2nd Winter Storm (weather.gov)
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and don't be surprised when the GFS enters its "lose the storm completely" period....
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the position of the HP to the north - the timing of the system coming from the southwest and whether or not there is some sort of blocking to keep the HP in place longer will determine the track of the storm -MAYBE A REDEVELOPMENT OFF THE COAST ?
