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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    Seems like the GFS has been leading the parade so to say this month - maybe that upgrade they did not long ago was the real deal. For this weekend storm it was the first to take the storm directly south from Canada to the Gulf Coast then out to sea south of us. The Euro and the Canadian changed its output a couple runs later following the GFS solution. Then the GFS reversed course and gives us a major coastal storm the last 2 cycles. Lets see if the Canadian and the Euro start trending towards the GFS soon and the GFS solution stays basically the same. So IMO give the GFS the benefit of the doubt and also I am only describing the OP solutions not the ensembles !!!!! and here is a non-scientific output for you guys who don't like them
  2. NEG NAO
    I doubt this is the final or correct solution unfortunately..
  3. NEG NAO
  4. NEG NAO
    IMO only the Canadian will change and trend towards the GFS and Euro.........
  5. NEG NAO
    why ?
  6. NEG NAO
    We are in the Screw Zone !
  7. NEG NAO
    12Z Euro Similar To GFS through weekend at least
  8. NEG NAO
    Only thing Canadian gives us is a rain storm next week
  9. NEG NAO
    Lets start talking about the weekend in the thread Walt Started
  10. NEG NAO
    12Z Canadian is a miss - I liked the 12Z GFS delays any storm along coast till next Tuesday
  11. NEG NAO
    Canadian going in the GFS direction for weekend event
  12. NEG NAO
    and if you have a little patience the GFS will be ok too
  13. NEG NAO
  14. NEG NAO
    This LP on 12Z GFS started out in southern Canada and went south to the gulf coast caused by all the blocking??Then departs off the south/north carolina coasts
  15. NEG NAO
    Many areas in tri-state have little snow left on the ground also....
  16. NEG NAO
    I tend to doubt it will be that strong and other favorable indices will help create a more winter like pattern for us in Feb.........
  17. NEG NAO
    you forgot to mention what it showed for early next week
  18. NEG NAO
    0Z Canadian totally different solution for next weekend VS. GFS miss to the south takes clipper and redevelops right on top of us
  19. NEG NAO
    models won't start to figure this out for a few more days so expect each run to be different for a few days at least.........
  20. NEG NAO
    first of all the primary low and redevelopment is completely different on the GFS and CMC for next weekend low confidence IMO----- - the Jan 24th storm is still in fantasyland....a thread can be created now but should be open to a wide range of possibilities IMO only...
  21. NEG NAO
    why ?
  22. NEG NAO
    The First Blizzard of 2022 around January 20th
  23. NEG NAO
  24. NEG NAO
  25. NEG NAO
    you are expecting very high ratio's ?- still expecting any sleet ?
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