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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. Thanks that just answered all questions on how this storm will play out in the immediate NYC metro - not much in the way of accumulation.....
  2. has this model been accurate at all in the past ? Also how about the Sref ?
  3. Once I hear Mr. Drag say this is real I will be a believer.......
  4. yea that was a memorable last minute bust.......Monday could be a fun day watching the radars..
  5. I was talking frozen thats all we care about we don't do threads for rainstorms for the most part....
  6. I would wait till later tomorrow or early Monday...........models have been inconsistent this winter so far
  7. I would take the 12Z Euro with a grain of salt for now since it went from nothing to a MECS in 1 run......All the models have been flip flopping around past 3 days out
  8. This just about sums it up for the next 10 days the clunker winter in NYC of 21 - 22 continues......until further notice
  9. 1916-17 0 0 0 0 T 14.5 5.8 12.2 11.7 6.5 0 0 50.7 1922-23 0 0 0 0 1.0 8.0 24.5 18.8 8.1 T 0 0 60.4 1947-48 0 0 0 0 T 30.2 15.3 13.6 4.7 0 0 0 63.8 1960-61 0 0 0 T 0 18.6 16.7 18.2 1.2 T 0 0 54.7 1963-64 0 0 0 0 T 11.3 13.3 14.1 6.0 T 0 0 44.7 1995-96 0 0 0 0 2.9 11.5 26.1 21.2 13.2 0.7 0 0 75.6 2013-14 0 0 0 0 T 8.6 19.7 29.0 0.1 T 0 0 57.4
  10. what makes you think there will even be a storm at 12Z on the Euro ?
  11. I would be careful totally discounting early next weeks potential . Take a look back in this forum to the Dec 26, 2010 Boxing Day threads. Just 3 days before the event there was a post that the Euro was a complete miss to the east and other models were forecasting a quarter inch or less of liquid......We all remember what actually happened.............
  12. what's scary is its only about 5 days away - what a bust if we get nothing
  13. Most pattern changes are challenging and difficult to predict...........but I think we will have opportunities down the road in the not too distant future......
  14. This looks like it has the potential to start frozen in most of the metro - (if this system is even real) and because of the blocking high to the north once it gets too western PA it will redevelop off the coast which might help keep precip frozen here
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