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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    remained a disorganized mess and was basically a minor event here in central NJ............on to next weekends potential
  2. NEG NAO
    The Ukie is closer to the coast
  3. NEG NAO
    yeah BUT how are you going to get rid of that little vort near Maine that is suppressing next weekends coastal ?
  4. NEG NAO
    18Z GFS
  5. NEG NAO
    12Z GEFS
  6. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO
  7. NEG NAO
    IMO the main problem with this system looking at radars is that it is just one disorganized mess right now yes there is precip in central PA but it is broken up and moving mainly northeast - as some have mentioned some of the models have not performed well with this system - how many times in the past have we been fooled by the models when a system is in progress ? Nowcasting time IMO just using radars - they will give us plenty of advanced notice of any trends developing........
  8. NEG NAO
    12Z GFSv16
  9. NEG NAO
    12Z GEM
  10. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS
  11. NEG NAO
    this is now casting time - radars are the best tools right now IMO
  12. NEG NAO
    now the big questions are -1. Will there be an organized second batch and when ? 2. Where does the snow/ice/rain line set up ? right now the radars don't show any real second organized batch coming this way anytime soon...
  13. NEG NAO
    this first batch is almost over here in NJ - what comes after this ? radar is empty
  14. NEG NAO
    Mix of Sleet and Snow 34 F now the rain- snow line cutting through Staten Island and points west and south - nobody else going to post OBS here ?
  15. NEG NAO
    Moderate to Heavy Snow Northern most Middlesex County NJ 33F
  16. NEG NAO
  17. NEG NAO
    and a few days later on 0Z GFS
  18. NEG NAO
    0Z GFS
  19. NEG NAO
    18Z GFS closer to coast BUT
  20. NEG NAO
    (397) Upcoming Potentially Major Snowstorm - YouTube
  21. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO is a miss BUT lets keep in mind 12 hours earlier it was a direct hit with mainly liquid along the coast
  22. NEG NAO
  23. NEG NAO
    12Z GFSV16 is also a complete miss to the southeast for 8/9
  24. NEG NAO
    after reviewing 12Z guidance offers no clue as to what might happen on the 8-9 the GFS is a complete miss to the east and the CMC is a grazer with snow along the coast - still waiting on the other models....
  25. NEG NAO
    If you like to follow inconsistent models look what happened to the above "event" at 0Z
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