NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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Still a "work in progress" IMO plenty of potential beginning next week !
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Don't give up on the chance of a White Christmas around here this could look alot more wintry then shown here because the models are still adjusting to the real pattern developing.....
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and still the possibility of a white christmas
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Only about 11 days away
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Reminds me of 2010 when we spent Christmas Eve and Day tracking the Boxing Day Blizzard......
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Both Chicago and NYC get their first ? snow of the season on Christmas and or Boxing Day
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There are signs the PNA will be moving towards neutral or positive territory around the New Year
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Sorry Neighbor for my sarcastic comment - but over here in central NJ all the leaves are off the trees - why do you think they are hanging on in NYC ?
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can't you see they are busy talking about the leaves on the trees ...but I saw that
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Did the old wicked witch ride by the window on her bike ?
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Let's talk about the potential Strat Warming event developing later in the month:
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I Agree
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where are the snowstorms in this pattern coming from ????
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but what are the main storm tracks going to be ?
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its only nice if we break out of this dry pattern and the storm tracks are in our favor for snow which there is no indication of that happening in the mid to long range yet....
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12Z Euro same as GFS and GEM for 21st
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That doesn't tell us much for NYC metro we are stuck in the middle - which usually means an active stormy pattern.......
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12Z Canadian similar to 12Z GFS but beyond 21st storm lingers down south
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12Z GFS completely different from last nights 0Z regarding the 21st storm
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Remember we still have no idea what is going to happen next week ..........
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So basically in his opinion take the models with a grain of salt the next few days - I totally agree ! Anybody else agree ?
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Realistically every previous post regarding next week is neither right or wrong . There is still mass confusion in the modeling as demonstrated by last nights and the early morning runs with the GFS and Euro Ops in complete disagreement ( GFS an intense coastal hugger and Euro a miss to the south and east ) . Like I mentioned last night IMO until we get several runs in a row of consistency and the ensembles start coming into a basic agreement from multiple models - all options remain on the table ! IMO !
