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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO offers some hope for a light to possibly moderate event around the Metro late next week - this is the model to monitor it has shown this or something similar recently and fits the advertised pattern coming up
  2. NEG NAO
    you are talking close to 275 hours away - IMO ignore for now....... Any event prior to then has the same old borderline cold airmass in place for any precip that does arrive - nothing happening on the 12Z runs so far that is thread worthy..........
  3. NEG NAO
    12Z EURO 1/21 Storm
  4. NEG NAO
    19710107.... 0.0 ?? ........ these are the only ones ? Which years had the same -EPO-PNA-AO and had none ?
  5. NEG NAO
    Looks like CPC is anticipating a clipper pattern - southern stream is quiet - no miller A's
  6. NEG NAO
    I agree and also creating winter storm threads and trying to determine which areas of the Metro will get what precip amount and type will be a real challenge because right now guidance has been all over the place past 5 days especially.......typical pattern change reaction from most of the models.......so far most guidance is not showing any significant winter threat around most of the metro..around the 20th IMO we will have a better idea how this pattern might play out...
  7. NEG NAO
    The 12Z EURO wants to basically continue the pattern we are in now next week with storms being prevented from riding up the coast -NOT GOOD !
  8. NEG NAO
    Maybe - Maybe NOT look closer many member still on the negative side of the line....
  9. NEG NAO
    Just remember you can still get snow events here if the timing is favorable.........they actually stated "The Winter Will Be Over" ? please post the evidence...
  10. NEG NAO
    CMC also has storm on 22nd BUT borderline cold enough airmass in place according to this
  11. NEG NAO
    Even the 12Z ICON is showing the potential early next week
  12. NEG NAO
    12Z GEM trying to join the party along the east coast just a little too far offshore
  13. NEG NAO
    yes just as I suspected around January 20th - Feb 11th give or take a few days we might be back in business around here
  14. NEG NAO
    12Z GFS has the storm along the coast again early next week
  15. NEG NAO
    WPC January 19 -25 - there will be storms to track around here starting later this week
  16. NEG NAO
    Both GFS and CMC showing an LP developing and coming up the coast offshore early next week after this weekends colder air front moves through its been hinting at this for a few runs now - ICON has it too
  17. NEG NAO
    care to explain ?
  18. NEG NAO
    There is a message on the PivotalWeather.com site saying NCEP is having data distribution problems.....I also suspect that most of the models will have major problems past day 5 especially adjusting to this pattern change coming up...........
  19. NEG NAO
    watch -that's when we will have another SECS or MECS around here - wouldn't be surprised ....also the 12Z models so far GFS and CMC look stormier around here beginning next weekend - this dry spell won't last forever.......
  20. NEG NAO
    Why don't you think some of these storms will try and cut west then be forced to develop along the coast to our south then ride up the coast - keeping us mainly frozen ?
  21. NEG NAO
    I am still sticking to this outlook I made on 1/5 except the temps might not be much below normal in our area after this coming weeks storm passes for the following week- PATIENCE IS THE KEY IMO - around January 20th - Feb 11th is the most favorable period for winter storms coming up as mentioned previously IMO !
  22. NEG NAO
    its January 9th and we are still above average this season - no one here has a clue how much total snowfall we will end up with this season...........we still have 3 months of potential remaining
  23. NEG NAO
    here - you can hope this verifies
  24. NEG NAO
    exciting week ahead
  25. NEG NAO
    Thanks Uncle W - only about 9 seasons since 1872 have featured more then one snowfall 10 inches or more in NYC
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