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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    Total confusion so far CMC OP and GFS OP totally different - BUT ICON came north which was suppressed up till now - no one can make an accurate forecast for this weekend YET IMO and waiting out west is the Jan 10-11 system with strong HP to the north
  2. NEG NAO
    but you need some agreement amongst the models and several model runs of it in a row to start gaining confidence.They are all over the place
  3. NEG NAO
    just over 12 hours ago Walt wrote this to start the thread - hard to take suppession that seriously yet " but it's possible that next Sundays probable wintry event will shift a little more inland with rain dominating along the coast."
  4. NEG NAO
    also suppression has not been an issue so far this season and there is really nothing to suppress it completely IMO -partially yes
  5. NEG NAO
    me too - a soaking rain storm is off the table as of now
  6. NEG NAO
    0Z Icon was suppresed along with previous runs of it
  7. NEG NAO
    further south and east 0Z EURO
  8. NEG NAO
    yes
  9. NEG NAO
    agree 100 % just review the larger storms threads here starting with the Boxing Day 2010 storm here - there were questions with that one a few days prior
  10. NEG NAO
  11. NEG NAO
    classic Raritan River NJ rain/snow line to start
  12. NEG NAO
  13. NEG NAO
  14. NEG NAO
    stronger also 988 vs. 994 at 12Z
  15. NEG NAO
    need the others transferring their energy off the Del Marva not the Central Jersey Coast
  16. NEG NAO
    misses to the south again ..........
  17. NEG NAO
  18. NEG NAO
  19. NEG NAO
    12Z Euro more frozen then 0Z long ways to go and too close to accurately call
  20. NEG NAO
    Question of the day is what will the EURO show in a couple of hours ? and don't forget all the ENSEMBLES
  21. NEG NAO
    12Z CMC solid MECS
  22. NEG NAO
    long way to go - trended towards EURO
  23. NEG NAO
    yes Dr. NO spoils the party - until it comes on board confidence is low this far out IMO reason is the HP north of us is in the wrong position to feed cold enough air in closer to the coast track New England crew wins with this scenario
  24. NEG NAO
    no need for a late week thread 1/4 - 1/5 as of now as the 0Z Euro agrees with the GFS out to sea track
  25. NEG NAO
    coastal NJ and eastern half of LI will get mixing IMO and if it bumps any further west NYC metro will too ......
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