NEG NAO
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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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yes but too what ?? No big deal IMO
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EURO at this range hasn't been so accurate this season so far
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this is more realistic IMO for next week - soaking rain storm
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this will only be considered real if shown by other models multiple runs IMO
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not crazy at all but this winter has underperformed since the beginning so can't be too optimistic. This will probably verify the cold air doesn't stay in place long enough
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why is this image showing green over the metro ?
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Better ??? Also its too far out to even speculate
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ok ok - he still owes NYC 15 minus 2.3 = 12.7 min.......good luck
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when should we begin to see models catching on to this idea ?
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with 15 -23 inches ?
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can't access his quick thoughts
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right now I think similar to January's pattern change which wasn't a big deal a couple light snow events like Don mentioned in a previous post..........that Nick Gregory 15 -23 inches was some ratings hungry producer twisting his arm to say it....
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pattern changes to what ?
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with below normal snowfall ?
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true - until I see some real potential storms showing up on multiple models multiple consecutive runs and Walt starts a thread within 150 hours with cold enough air in place with a favorable track then will take this pattern change seriously........... i see
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what is happening at the surface during this period ? Where we reside.........
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take out the first 2 weeks and what does it look like ?
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Too be determined at a later date......need the northern and southern streams to interact in a way to bring storms up the coast and timing is crucial.....HP in southeast Canada needed - cutters are less likely but are still possible with not enough blocking.....
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we will know before the pattern is in place if there will also be a stormy pattern developing.
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12Z GFS - not even a fantasy longer range snowstorm - not a good signal so far - the means can look great at 500 longer range but doesn't mean there will be any snow here
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its impossible to even speculate about storm tracks right now too early
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this is pure speculation at this point IMO we don't even know when the pattern change is definetely going to happen yet date wise........to try and pin point storm tracks is impossible right now
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I think the deeper we get into February areas south and east of DC will have precip type issues
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true but how often does the SE ridge work in our favor for a cold snowy pattern lately ?
