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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    you talking about the 13th system or the Presidents Day system ?
  2. NEG NAO
    GFS has it blocked and Canadian up to 240 hours has no storm down there not even worth speculating at this point
  3. NEG NAO
    the biggest obstacle to snowfall in the metro with this system is there is no established cold air in place prior to arrival of the storm and you have to be far inland and higher elevation
  4. NEG NAO
    This is closer to reality
  5. NEG NAO
    GFS is total nonsense
  6. NEG NAO
    that makes sense since minor accumulations is the norm in NYC the last 2 years so maybe they can make it to 4 or 5 inches total for the season so far....
  7. NEG NAO
    Only the 0Z and 12Z runs should be taken seriously since they contain new Radiosonde Data which is a very important data input into these models 6Z and 18Z contain old stale data
  8. NEG NAO
    do you actually think its going to be raining near Scranton and the Hudson Valley and snowing in NYC Metro ?
  9. NEG NAO
    because when we see this not much to get enthused about because it isn't correct and other models at 0Z were wet
  10. NEG NAO
    Even the cold is not impressive on the EURO 2/18 most of it locked up in Canada
  11. NEG NAO
    when the worst model is the only hit - time to start looking down the road for other possibilities which there are none as of now - Presidents Day is too far away and the EURO the day before 2/18 does not look impressive
  12. NEG NAO
    Forget about snow early next week Euro says NO
  13. NEG NAO
    I think the 0Z GFS should be tossed after seeing that MECS on it for next week and now this
  14. NEG NAO
    agreed
  15. NEG NAO
    I know but when you see this suppression is less likely
  16. NEG NAO
    18Z GFS clown map
  17. NEG NAO
    Another Rainstorm 23rd - obviously this is an indication that maybe the pattern will not be suppressed
  18. NEG NAO
    Presidents Day Soaker - went from suppresed 12Z to cutter
  19. NEG NAO
    NIce - but what do you see happening here in regards to sensible weather ? Down here on the ground
  20. NEG NAO
    I hope you are not referring to me at almost 69 years of age..........I am just a grouchy old man........
  21. NEG NAO
    the Central Park Snow Measurer Says:
  22. NEG NAO
    this concrete jungle in NYC holds the built up heat for a longer period of time.......
  23. NEG NAO
    I knew you were going to say that..........
  24. NEG NAO
    then why no thread ?
  25. NEG NAO
    and when we will need a northern trend in the model runs it will not happen...........
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